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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四
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正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置4 H+ S, N+ h6 [5 d+ k! h
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比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
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9 q9 p$ ^- I; X6 R p司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。' Y( H. N7 S( w; }
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比' q6 C+ J3 Q H8 |9 k6 v) [
3 \$ F4 N7 h( E1 z. f+ I. a
特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金' S" T+ A" ?3 S) g
% O1 T# x# \' J$ V! U- c! C4 u0 |5 H0 L# d(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。
& c2 k" n" h4 i' v8 m. ~
( B: V' }" {* M7 U/ } 来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
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1 q4 I F* N7 K币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，
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" W/ Q& w7 Y6 D, I: \. \并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。1 h1 [3 I0 ~! m* b8 e& o) y; b8 a
, K4 Q9 F" \ t# ]$ }0 w“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特) c' `; i9 U0 m" @
4 I0 B% n/ T. c( A/ Y币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价4 Y! e/ V( k' B
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格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。
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在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大; W& @; p2 h3 F; {& X
9 r/ k! g, _; u5 ^% U- I/ N# I
力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，: P8 f- T, @! m- r- @1 o
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2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
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, ~4 |( U; W6 d; I5 y* z& q1 i/ o自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到
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" [0 X, L+ C: B0 a; y4 N63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。8 h' r3 y! r4 M
. q8 Z0 m1 W1 T: s
“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下$ {7 C$ h+ [% {- _0 \5 U; h
4 |' V5 u+ e9 \7 p% J! g降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该
& y$ Z5 D2 u6 V+ P: |7 q# l# z: y2 m6 [$ d& l- W3 R
会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。( }- y4 a" I x! D; K$ x- |
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