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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。
$ Z+ n- H6 G0 @0 C& m上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。
# y# [2 v) R) L" h4 E8 l5 _) g7 O) M, [2 d( F
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者3 ^- {4 s& Y$ D( `% R$ H R
4 ^2 L, O7 c' D) D& t$ _8 V0 t# J6 \( e B3 J1 b
在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。
+ _0 P ?, J) P
- ?: M* M: u9 T3 F l9 l' E. g在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，* G9 Q& `9 d3 W; z$ X" ?
7 P0 K2 D' X! Z
如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统8 O [2 ^1 B: G/ Q' s
6 t. T# u- [* K- \* ?8 {资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。
+ Y! z7 H( Q7 a6 _- B
& v) |$ \- `2 K' o0 D' {从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等
: I" v( `- s" Y( T$ j% X9 m h
x% M9 H/ f/ M, T7 j2 G托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加
$ i# p e* W: u# U% F
0 C. Y5 X4 [8 L% o _哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交+ e8 a/ ^" S1 g' F( o1 w) O
, }. ~% I1 ]; @3 \7 g
易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。
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# F1 {) k3 W' g9 W6 |天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币
! r. [2 J" g2 ^3 a9 M, ^7 Y3 s4 o5 ~$ h4 z. t4 A. m
ETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围
6 |$ d. m! {; \# }/ `! W% W& M6 W
绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构4 x& y" p& E! }9 p9 {
! M) \1 @7 H2 m1 e& i, t$ N' b+ [
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。. `. h4 Y4 a8 W# G
% P5 D5 U( Z2 w: p) Y" F
在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat 1 W6 x L; G$ T
5 q& `! o. h1 a s
Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，+ D5 G8 f: \$ Z+ [7 P1 [ ?0 D
4 C. m R( g( S N: K( F0 D比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元
. ^ y6 F7 {0 T' E V( U1 s
# p/ ^% Q2 y, e0 I" D的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。: V+ \1 a1 [* D4 v! o
/ n) |$ `% j: b7 }. [( m2 |. b' M' `# _不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身/ h8 p/ w/ u7 g0 _' `, a' |
4 E7 Z; ^7 ~5 P$ ?+ U' f; z4 L _6 x
并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和 w. M" n* i/ D& d
8 U* N. a+ g0 g9 ]2 _* J科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
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