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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
+ Z) x: p5 N% x3 E$ x# u H f& a. O2 _% n4 A+ T
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。; u( }6 c6 F1 m _
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当7 T1 \* O5 _ v
2 B! v% X" O6 H6 c: o8 @
天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场) I& I& t I$ R5 u a8 m
/ W+ a2 r% v4 R3 y
处于健康的看涨状态。8 `9 D7 _( l3 w, t, s9 \
, S2 h& w |+ JAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
6 }- ~- Q5 a3 d) Z
6 [+ q: }3 G! o* {短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
# p2 y; N% ]# P7 J+ \, J5 z$ X3 a0 L& q3 @
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
5 n7 A- K) b1 h$ F" r5 S
; V8 ?* ^3 u. y( `% L* L! f2 {AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
7 }& i6 L& ^7 v4 W1 L, Z2 ^2 C7 J8 z0 H
' R7 R: D: ^5 @3 j7 eCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
7 O- t1 r9 }. f/ E: x0 W
* t# n& c! a2 E2 G% H* N. b及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。. s- n/ K O6 J' V1 f
% N* ]2 l7 J4 I( P+ L# }其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较* ?0 e5 ?/ ^3 x. _- [% O& j
( b" J& o$ D4 P) B+ P7 D: t
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强4 D7 \& J/ ^$ F+ ~
8 ~$ u' }8 ?# j( c1 q劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
9 m! e* Y* B9 t5 d1 I+ V3 U* t: O% I0 {% y9 u5 I% V
然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF+ }4 c8 j+ ?) V5 B
4 n: D2 O0 _) C- D) I9 N% r
申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。3 }) N, ~4 ]. v9 H }5 v* Q
9 O' D* p6 M6 H虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币; X2 i8 j- u% s- ~
) X. m' m; F! o( CNUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不" e( F& G& S6 D8 ?8 I }
4 m% _6 F) E ~ ]( f绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法: K( j) l& }/ v1 [/ T
4 g2 N4 Q8 c! I6 u' y* Q5 z继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。$ o7 n5 F8 E9 r8 i
; H! Y4 y& L7 q* w8 c
. E. ?- i0 ~+ X8 t" f因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的
+ u# l& ~3 v3 e
0 P" a1 A5 i, p& w关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
8 ~2 B4 y8 B& A, o: p! d+ J4 G
9 U' [' v( w0 n, k5 M! P% z/ _1 M" Q% ]/ X- p
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