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小分3种情况:; j8 Y0 j( J& d: A
K# p( Y6 F8 K) R6 T1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。0 R! e) O2 c! Z, r! {4 j
' v' Q' i. N" l/ K* b: P$ I0 N2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
F6 i# I1 \: w$ S* a0 m
7 f! Q* e0 p6 g3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
. E9 N1 d+ Z3 C8 q, A; K$ y; P; c; H3 {* Q, D' h
2张牌8或9点的情况有:
0 y4 v5 \9 Y% ?$ E- p& E1 J+ }3 G" ]
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
- b- o' B: Y/ v- x- B
" B* t5 t4 p! }' ~! q1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
1 G) E s/ M9 r U" r* a4 l2 W! [3 k, m8 s5 n
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
& @' P9 n+ p' S& m3 n$ @* w/ O3 }" X0 ?% d
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415" I0 a N3 V2 s& \
8 H9 m- f; M* ^7 X
由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
! m7 c8 \# V( [4 c# Q( a9 ~$ @
+ {# |! M a. e0 q! K$ ]* U通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。8 e9 h6 W7 o/ v7 c& p6 J
( L4 g u, E) g* k" I' n那么我们可以得出1 r. w; ~6 N/ z4 |% U8 y
, B- J3 z7 X! Q g" n) g
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662+ Z* z Z7 s N6 P" A) @
! B- P3 O( p7 X; f+ p2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 " V( q5 V h. S, [% Z
6 ], K7 D6 n- e( m0 A# f0 [
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491/ ~* L3 C$ D$ M
8 g9 G2 z t; T
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
3 ?) v! o- R$ F% A+ G' |
, v( y8 |( f; M5 f3 p: O$ d, e百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677- G1 O) ?5 Q. m* `9 H( \
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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