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财联社5月29日讯(编辑 牛占林)近期以来,微软、奈飞、Meta、推特、Paypal等美国多家知名企业陆陆续续发布了裁员和冻结招聘的消息,所谓春江水暖鸭先知,美国火热的就业市场出现了什么问题? ) `2 G' J$ e( v2 Q( a2 L# ^
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投资银行Piper Sandler整理了近期美国企业裁员的公告。该行首席经济学家Nancy Lazar评论最近的裁员潮时表示:“新冠疫情后就业市场的调整,意味着更多的裁员即将到来,许多公司在疫情期间过度雇佣和提供了过高薪酬。”
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6 Q9 q" _5 ?2 m5 P- W6 L; \5 eLazar指出,疫情催生的就业市场泡沫正在破灭,这意味着裁员周期即将来临,就业和工资的增长会减弱。
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近期,美国企业员工工资增长显示出了见顶的迹象。根据人力资源公司、企业主和最近的调查数据,表明在过去一年大幅加薪之后,企业现在对薪酬预算方面变的更加谨慎,担心进一步的加薪会侵蚀企业利润。
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Piper Sandler预期,我们可能会看到上百万或更多的裁员,因为许多受益于疫情的商品部门现在意识到他们增加了太多的产能。在疫情期间,低收入工人的工资涨幅最高,但现在他们面临的裁员风险也最大。
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, y& U4 o* r' ^" j2 ^0 E0 T6 R( s美国商务部周五公布的数据显示,4月份消费者支出增长0.9%,收入增长0.4%。但经通胀因素调整后,当月可支配收入持平,表明薪资增长难以跟上物价上涨的步伐。此外,4月份,美国储蓄率降至4.4%,为14年来的最低水平,表明许多美国人正在动用储蓄来抵消成本上升的影响。
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# h& F: g" `" }; k$ Y' \5 C- l根据这些数据以及摩根士丹利的计算,美国穷人现在拥有的储蓄比金融危机前更少。其中最贫穷的20%的人口现在比拜登推出大规模刺激经济之前更穷,而且随着时间的推移,更多的人将被拖下“深渊”。
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# S n" Z1 J9 g万宝盛华集团首席执行官Jonas Prising表示:“工资已经上涨到了企业雇主无法接受的水平。企业会考虑到消费者和顾客不会接受企业进一步转嫁这些成本,所以我们需要开始降低成本,然后可能开始裁减人员。” : V: t! r/ @' z& [
, v$ O+ T5 N& U, m8 S% m根据美国劳动力智能分析公司Revelio Labs的数据显示,美国总招聘职位已经从高位回落,而且创下有记录来最大变化。
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V" w3 d, H3 I来源:金色财经 |
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