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赌注越小抽水大大,赌注越大抽水越小
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6 v2 a& l" e6 {/ a; f7 G. C一般地,赌场为保证利润,赌注越小,抽水就越厉害;赌注越大,抽水就越小。对老虎機这类抽水大得惊人,收益率负得厉害的游戏,研究它的策略根本就没有实际意义。
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彩票、老虎機和赌场里的各种赌戏,是针对不同的DB消费群体而设计的,取决于收益率和游戏的频度,一般来说,以彩票的杀伤力最小,老虎機次之,赌场最甚。$ h2 ]/ m, |5 K) }$ @9 V; F
' o/ ]( F- F% X' _对待彩票的策略,上策是从来不买,中策是偶尔花点钱买个可遇不可求的渺茫希望,下策是希望花钱买来个500万。7 w' U- M& k9 s! p
" e% i& x; r% i5 l对待DB机的策略,上策和中策都是不玩,下策是偶尔玩玩消遣消遣,如果想在DB机上赢大钱,那就是下下策了,有人在DB机上输了十万几十万就是因为采用了DB机策略的下下策。
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只要是DB,就存在风险 T/ F+ E; f) ?) x% n
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数学可以告诉你成败的概率,但并不能消除风险,赌客其实不是在和几率打赌,而是在和时间打赌。
9 l$ a% n y7 P# R/ c2 U4 E! Q/ H; }( ]' F" S
赌场赢赌客的钱,决不单单只赢在数学几率上,还赢在赌客们嗜赌成瘾的弱点上,赢在赌客的贪婪心理、不服输的心理、以及侥幸心理上。 c7 G+ O. p9 W8 P4 O5 m4 \
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收益率优势是DB中最大的、起决定性作用的优势,脱离收益率优势来谈论DB技巧都不过是无本之末、无源之水。
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作为一个成功的DB者,你必须懂得如何控制自己的情绪,在大部分的情况下,你在赌桌上并不仅仅是跟赌场对战,同时还跟自己的情绪和心理作战。
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成功的赌家,要有ZZ家的眼界——以收益率统领全局,银行家的头脑——必须有收益才投资,经济学家的理论——懂得资金的管理和发挥资金的最大效益,投资家的耐心——等待收益率为正的时刻,军事家的胆魄和决断——机会来临,该出手时就出手。, R6 p' C, F l/ n0 t& u- x
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平常心是贪婪心的克星,英雄难过美女关,赌客难过贪婪关。1 q4 ]/ a7 n, `) p9 h8 S9 ]
9 L6 I# w4 [) }0 c# N/ u& b没有赌家不曾输钱,没有谁是百战百胜。* X |0 J% C3 J6 I
9 t) f, v4 i; m Z' }" `* m0 s在输钱需要回避风头很盛的庄家,而又犹豫不决时,卡尼曼的预期理论能帮助我们更好地决策。4 [7 j# b; O$ l' R* x, {2 ]5 ~
- `5 i4 Z, A4 Y5 T- V赌场的荷官往往会利用自己的手势和语调来指挥控制赌客下注,让赌客在失利的时候赌注反而下得更大,作为赌客应该明白这一点,以免到时候受制于人。
5 o* m5 ?& r q5 Q$ F( F# y0 O3 i2 D# P
要有在赌场内的忍耐能力,要做到无优势不赌,无信心不赌,无运不赌,要记着「忍」,把庄家风头很盛的时候忍过去,在忍无可忍时,再忍一忍。: J9 F# {' ?0 l! D# W
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DB中的信心来自于对收益率的准确了解,经验可以帮你分析,冷静的情绪可帮你做决定,思考零乱时最不适宜下注,要等到收益率大于0的时刻,一定要等、等、等。
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3 C4 ]5 O/ Q3 Z8 J V5 {要安稳、稳定,不要随便下注,掌握好下注的节奏
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* [/ U7 X/ T5 N4 `) c- w! L下注要够狠,收益率为正时下注要狠,收益率为正而又连赢时下注要更狠,不要错过过三关的机会。
3 S0 B% E; F+ S; b4 `8 g
6 q/ I" e$ {: y- ?& K要做到赢钱及时离开赌场,输钱又要识得离开赌场,下次再来,留得青山在,不怕没柴烧。4 m4 R, L* G* J. e# |5 F
! u0 ]; G3 A9 h0 i3 ]) K7 a在连赢的时候,要敢于加注,犹如冲锋陷阵,该出手时就出手。
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