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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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0 f [" q' z( @6 C2 N: E2 r/ h1 B" c
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。1 P3 ?1 ^7 s( e# x: e/ G2 l% k l9 h
( a$ M. q" ]- {0 n& @" k这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。4 j$ T& r+ s/ w1 A
* o1 y4 T1 I$ M0 T- S为什么？/ e: D2 ]+ F- ?' d) a( ?8 S
7 `6 }! }3 I* i) B" |& S1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
. f6 ~' m& z( k; x2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
" e% s, B$ _2 U! r5 N 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
" c: k Z7 }8 T6 P" J' m7 @# n 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4) {2 L8 l% n* g' a) y5 O
第一把输，你没有了。" p X9 G3 w0 r- i w9 Z# ?
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
* {! `) s n( H5 g 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。( ~8 ?5 z6 \2 f! h" @
…………无限下去。
) Y* a7 F$ y4 j: O. Q清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……9 V3 w: N3 e; B% @/ l% `
|2 Z) W2 m$ e3 v8 m. a# A/ Z是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。0 N! \; t0 I0 A; F. y
1 |6 z: Q" m1 j$ F+ ?; E
这就是总是输的原因。。
1 p6 R* e, h" [" `/ N+ X+ G
, W$ q) t+ ]" S' X' w% E* N7 Z为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
! i1 ]! {( {9 k5 `& ^" J- ^( ^( C' |, C1 d7 b
1、我觉得可以打偏差。! x5 \# t: J/ D
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。0 J; `# g0 S) i
4 v% c, Q' a" Q; c- S' N* O
但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
& X- E" E' N E7 H0 \$ v/ R5 ]/ }
人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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