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[体育菠菜心得方法] 亚盘解释欧赔
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1#

欧赔主胜赔介于(1.50——2.50)这个区间,可以涵盖绝大多数比赛的赔率和盘口设置,表面上看跨度很大,但如果结合亚盘的上盘来思考,也就是一个赢球赢盘区间。暂且不从概率来思考这个问题,你会发现欧赔和亚盘,共性中求差异,差异中求共性的迹象在这一区间里,表现得最为明显。要理解这句话,你首先要理解第一部分内容中,赔率和盘口,对一场比赛在表达上的同与不同。来举例说明:用ABC来表示一组赔率,具体到这一区间里,你同样可以用A(B,C)来设置一个盘口,A代表上盘,(B,C)代表下盘,很显然,A是这个区间里最重要的一环!如果你能结合亚盘的思维去看欧赔在这一区间的设置,很多问题其实可以变得很简单。

  来看看什么是亚盘思维?你首先应该知道,由于外力频繁的影响,亚盘设置之后,连水位都没有变动的现象几乎是不存在的。那么亚盘的调整方向,到底代表*的什么意图?比如升盘,比如降盘,比如升水,比如降水。这种种现象无一不代表亚盘思维的核心。先说说升降盘,升盘,你可以理解为在外力抗击下*的一种被动调整,你同样可以理解为*在给上盘设置难度,降盘的道理则是相反的。再看看升降水,升水,你可以理解为*不看好某一个结果的出现,你同样可以理解为这是*在寻求一种平衡,亚盘象是两扇关乎生死的门,更象是围棋中的连环劫,你最终的目的,就是要通过思维的求证,找到生门,合理消劫。随着主胜赔付的增加,另一层意思,就是两支球队的实力值逐渐接近,从而导致赛果的更加不确定性,对判断和心理造成的影响随之加大。其实在一球盘面下,无论是半一还是平手,你完全可以看成是一个盘,唯一不同在于:平手你有走单的退路,平半你有输半的退路,仅此而已。几乎所有接受网上下单的亚洲*,在重要的比赛中,受注盘都有三个,置于中间的,就是*给出的主盘,其余两个就是副盘。解读盘口更象是一门艺术,而设置盘口则是*的技巧,这种技巧运用和心理学结合起来,值得每一个玩家去反复回味,来举例说明:假设有这样一组赔率:1.68; [0 A* z7 W& M3 e+ u; N
3.308 b# A+ v3 q2 F. c# ?" m
4.80,我们用两组盘口来表达这个赔率,看看能达到怎样不同的效果?。

  (1)A1.00半一B0.90(2)A1.20一球B0.70。

  4 w3 x' x* _# [7 N
A
0.80半球B1.10
6 P4 J5 K5 X- Y6 s7 [/ L( S3 IA1.00半一B0.90。

  
! F% d. z  C( }! d3 y8 CA0.55平半B1.35
) G( \, L$ J) jA0.80半球B1.10。

  第一组以半球盘为主盘,辅以超低水平半盘和中高水半一盘,第二组以半一盘为主盘,辅以低水半球盘和超高水一球盘。站在玩家的心理来看第一组盘口,你会觉得水位特别舒服,加上超低水的平半盘,让你有一种去上盘的冲动,其实这样的盘口组合,就是典型的危险信号!而第二组盘口,首先高开了一个盘口等级,以半球低水为门槛,已经没有输半的机会,尤其一球超高水盘,始终给玩家一种心理障碍,觉得上盘不稳,而这样的设置,往往是上盘胜出的前兆。这就是亚盘的艺术,同一组赔率,用不同的盘口组合来表达,就可以产生截然不同的效果。

  任何赔率,都可以用上面这种亚盘思维来进行分解,这是你了解*意图的重要环节。*例子就不再加以说明了,各位可以自行验证,前面说过,A是这一区间最重要的一环,具体到亚盘中,核心在于赢球就可以赢盘,把欧赔的(B,C)组合,和亚盘的下盘结合在一起考虑,把任何一组欧赔,用不同的亚盘组合来予以表达,进而推断*的真实意图,能起到事半功倍的效果。

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3#
我觉得任何脱离基本面的盘赔都是毫无意义的
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