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[体育菠菜心得方法] 成交量的陷阱∶久盘後突然放量突破
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1#
交量是指必发博彩交易所市场中各项体育赛事(本站主要指足球与NBA)买卖交易的成交额及挂牌,成交量的大小可以用来衡量该场赛事的活跃程度,并由此观察和了解买卖双方主力进入或退出市场的情况。有经验的玩家,往往是把某场比赛的成交量作为衡量、观察和预测的前提,并从中寻找主力资金的动向,选择投注的最佳选择。
# q& f) Z1 ~# c: V) t" `) Q5 `我们都知道,必发博彩交易所的模式来源於股票市场,但不同的获利机制在於必发博彩交易所通过“高买低卖”及“低卖高买”而获利,其中股市与博彩交易中最重要的指标莫过於成交量。众所周知,经典的理论认为成交量不会骗人,特别是在必发中,一场赛事仅为90分钟,在90分钟结束後即成为历史,那麽成交量是否不会骗人?在我们观察必发成交的价与量的关系後,我们认为,必发成交量也存在骗人的成份。但这也使很多初次接触必发技术分析系统的朋友所忽略,从而对必发技术分析系统理论失去信心。
+ v7 [' @- ^  j) y$ Z最常见的成交量陷阱是-久盘後突然放量突破。. T5 v$ X5 B  M: P% j) `; }7 N* V
这里说的久盘有时是指赔率在经过初盘到赛前几小时的几天时间里,配合密集成交,赔率於低位元或高位在相对窄小的价格区间进行波动,上行无力,下跌无量,交投极不活跃,不被市场人士关注,但由於初盘到开赛前一天已积累相当大的成交额。这种比赛有时候会在开盘後为玩家发现挂有大量的买单或卖单,摆出一幅此价位是主力资金的合理获利价位的架式。同时在挂(买/卖)单的附近区域有大量挂单层层叠叠的封住三个赔率价位左右。
) B& m7 C0 ~4 r: Q' S6 f( ?临近赛日,成交量急剧上升,推动赔率上调(或下降),这时玩家会立即发现该场赛事的成交量的异常变化,在必发交易所的玩家这时会试探性的跟进,但由於挂单沉重,除非你想反方向的买进或卖出,否则根本无法成交,这时跟进者能做的是-以更高的价格卖出或买进。俗不知,这正中了主力的圈套。# Q3 o4 O& b/ H. e0 D: o3 W
随著开赛时间的接近,三个价位左右的挂牌买(或卖)单依然强势,但另一方面成交额却在更高或更低的价位被成交,挂牌量依旧但成交额却没有出现单笔大单造成突破,这说明了主力的方向并非如挂牌所显示的买/卖。
" I3 Z0 b- }/ l, L接近开赛数小时,成交量开始出现伴随大注成交的突破,成交量继续推高。买/卖单往往在这时开始跟进(这也是羊群心里的表现之一),随後我们看到的现像往往是∶成交量递增而赔率递减(或者是成交量没有明显的增加,而赔率不断上调)。这时对必发指数分析系统是懂非懂的朋友就会以“突破”为由进行买进上盘/下盘,孰不知这时已中了庄家出货的成交量陷阱-久盘突然放量突破。0 [  w4 _; z  D
仔细研究一下,为什麽会在突然放量往上突破时又调头向下,甚至加速下跌呢?这就是庄家利用成交量设置的陷阱。通常的情况是,庄家在久盘以後知道强行上攻再出货已经难以见效,如果长期盘整下去本身也没有那麽多货来出,那麽自己就由坐轿变成了抬轿。为了找到合适的价位赶快出货,庄家在久盘後,采取滚打自己筹码的方式,造成成交量放大的假像,引起短线炒手关注,诱使人们盲目跟进。这时,庄家只是在启动时滚打了自己的筹码,在压低的过程中,许多技术分析派因对盘口误判而接下了庄家的大量卖单。那些没有买到然後就将买单挂在那里的人更加强了买盘的力量,并为庄家出货提供了机会。庄家就是这样利用量增价升这一普遍被人认可的原则,制造了假像,达到出货的目的。( J- w, j% l2 E) [  Y
久盘放量突破必须满足以下几个条件:. R, m) X' z3 [/ P$ h! U8 t) {
1、 早市成交额放量;
% b; g$ P. V' g( A( F( s- }2、 一段长时间里赔率窄幅调整;( n) w! P4 j) h
3、 挂单(约三个价位)金额形成阻力形态;. L& @1 U+ Z# C& a' O" P* E
4、 大手成交无法造成突破(多次出现买/卖中性盘);  s& S1 q* n  f
5、 突破在无量的情况下形成且後续无力;
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2#
谢谢楼主的知识分享!
: Z* C& C" c, t( o$ ~& g辛苦了!
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3#
突破吧 !!! 冲刺~~
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4#
多谢楼主分享,只是我们对这方面的信息了解的很少,没办法参考...
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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
必发在这方面是做得不错的。。。
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6#
期待天朝必发诞生。
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