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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格今日下跌的主要原因，未来还会继续下跌吗？（转）
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比特币价格从11.6万美元的局部高点大幅回落，目前停在11万美元附近。: s# i( W q* @' U9 F8 h
分析师表示，此次下跌可能是由于美联储会议后的获利回吐所致。/ T) B: R9 K( Z) Q3 M
一位顶级分析师警告称，比特币价格可能回调至 8 万美元。 p+ }( Q- {* {: x
比特币价格再次大幅回调，抹去了近期的大部分涨幅，并在过去24小时内跌至10.8万美元的低点。这表明，尽管市场对最近的降息预期乐观，但市场参与者仍然保持谨慎。
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作为背景，美联储在最近一次会议上宣布降息25个基点，这与市场预期相符。然而，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的附加条件似乎令交易员感到不安，这可能引发了风险资产的最新一轮抛售压力。
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此外，分析师指出，加密货币市场在美联储会议后通常会经历波动。尽管如此，市场此前已预期会出现回调，而鲍威尔的讲话进一步加剧了这种情绪。9 A# o4 W; g: X1 d
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现在，市场观察人士正在寻找比特币价格未来走势的潜在线索。在此背景下，一些顶级专家警告称，比特币价格可能出现回调，其中一位专家甚至暗示价格可能跌至 8 万美元。
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尽管美联储降息25个基点，比特币价格仍下跌。
# ^( z) A( n& N( v6 `) _4 u. o今日比特币价格截至发稿时，该加密货币价格下跌近2.5%，报110,200美元，但交易量飙升6%，达到700亿美元。值得注意的是，该加密货币在过去24小时内重新测试了108,000美元的关口，此前曾触及116,000美元的局部高点。! [* `0 W6 d' o$ L. a- ~
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这表明交易员在最近的交易结束后已经获利了结。美联储降息公告显示，通常情况下，较低的利率有利于比特币、黄金等风险资产，但目前看来，投资者仍在观望。& C7 l1 Z/ n& s( ^
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与此同时，比特币价格近期下跌的潜在原因之一可能是……鹰派评论来自杰罗姆·鲍威尔。在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）宣布降息后，鲍威尔指出，美联储今年并不急于宣布再次降息。
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* w6 f+ G) T0 K3 b; e此外，他还指出，即将做出的决定将取决于市场状况和即将公布的数据。受此影响，12月份降息的可能性从之前的约90%降至50%。
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% h4 x. ?7 S3 i! X' F为什么比特币价格今天下跌？2 A9 s# J7 F3 s: w, S
正如之前讨论过的，FOMC会议后的市场波动可能是近期比特币价格下跌的主要原因之一。分析师Merlijn The Trader对此评论道：“比特币的历史总是不断重演，直到它不再重演为止。”5 q3 x, i% j1 E
, c! z/ l2 q5 @/ P* b% h) m, j他指出，过去三次美联储公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议分别导致比特币价格下跌了10%、6%和8%。鉴于此，他提醒投资者应据此调整投资策略。, R) ]& k" g7 V0 x5 Q f8 ?
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事后说原因，似乎不如事先提醒，而且 要有准确率验证 |
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