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【本报消息】广东学者透露，中央将把包括澳门发展定位在珠三角的发展规划写入国家级发展规划，其中明确指出“全力支持澳门巩固世界旅游休閒中心”的地位。分析认为，这一定位表明中央将继续支持澳门发展旅游休閒业，有挺市意味；市场则憧憬内地在明年底甚至更早在明年中放宽对内地居民澳门自由行的限制。
+ ]% J2 x% ]/ r1 }: X- M4 Z ZF预资源扶中小企
, \: R% A1 B1 I0 y J: W 为加强珠三角地区抵抗金融海啸的“体质”，中央近日为早前实施的部分调控措施鬆绑。本地分析人士亦相信，中央会评估收紧自由行对澳门中小企的影响，倘没有中央ZF政策支持抵抗金融海啸，澳门复元时间较长。毕竟收紧自由行、金融海啸双重打击下，冲击澳门市场信心。
* Q# t+ H7 T% g" a; C% c& Q 经济财政司司长谭伯源昨日则表示，面对全球金融海啸冲击，澳门作为外向型经济体，多少会受到影响。但无论经济发展速度放缓甚至转坏，亦会先维护本地就业及本地企业的营商环境。他透露，在明年度的施政方针中，ZF将会预留资源及推出一些政策，以扶助本澳中小企业。( V9 h* M1 v5 D
谭司强调最重要固本 s: p# m8 r8 e- M" r3 l6 n
谭伯源表示，经济发展速度很大机会出现放缓，在这方面澳门必须准备；加上澳门很倚靠邻近地区的经济气氛，故现阶段会充分留意国际及邻近地区的经济发展情况，再因应澳门情况在经济政策上配合。ZF会尽一切方法，透过政策调整令营商环境不致急遽转坏，令本地中小企在是次冲击中不致大伤元气。他强调现阶段最重要是固本，要维持本地的经济元素，待环境好转时可令澳门经济更快地复甦。3 `% T4 t7 o, \; H, f: U; G( o
市场则憧憬内地会因应经济形势提早放宽自由行政策。投资银行摩根史丹利早前预期收紧自由行政策○九年底前将撤去，花旗集团则引述新濠国际财务总监王志浩称，中央或于明年中前放宽旅客入境澳门。
* M: S, e/ f8 I 港澳游分家客源锐减2 b7 Y) u' Z# D6 R' P2 O
本地学者承认，一旦鬆绑自由行，将起立竿见影效果。九月入境自由行客为37.1万人次，比八月的60.3万人次，大跌近39%，可见港澳游“分家”的影响明显。以此推算，平均每日澳门减少了约7,000多名旅客入境，对零售、餐饮行业的影响不言而喻。加上金融海啸吹袭，双重影响，政策有需要作出调整。收紧自由行对针对一般旅客的娱乐城影响轻微，博彩收入下滑主要因贵宾厅收缩。0 J/ l! R6 K X; o- _
亦有分析认为，相信政策会重新评估。当日收紧自由行，不想澳门经济“过热”，但如今市场产生很大变化，内地也要“稳保增长”。相信有关方面是否鬆绑需作出深入评估，起码不会再收紧，甚而鬆绑有期。
; w7 N$ y! a! Q4 w 市场亦关注到，因应金融海啸对珠三角的冲击，中央政策可能调整。国务院上月派出了一百七十多名官员和专家到广州珠三角调研，并且据此作出珠三角未来二、三十年的发展规划及列入国家级规划。率领此次调查的国家发改委副主任杜鹰早前表示，今后无论是加快珠三角发展还是抗御国际的风云变幻，进一步加强粤港澳合作肯定是少不了的。& p ~; \5 P4 k
体现援澳政策有微调
) N. K w8 r1 p 日前，同样参与规划的广东省社科院国际经济研究所长丘杉在广州一个研讨会上透露，珠三角国家级规划明确定出“全力支持香港巩固国际金融、贸易、航运中心地位”、“全力支持澳门巩固世界旅游休閒中心地位”的意向。
% E) f, T2 ?+ P) N' a 本地分析认为，多年以来，港澳都强调区域分工，澳门走博彩旅游路线。但从过去中央一直强调的“推动澳门产业适度多元”到“全力支持巩固国际休閒中心地位”，体现方针政策的微调，或与当前经济形势逆转有关。1 ^- f# x( h/ }# u8 G! J+ q( h
此外，“产业适度多元”毕竟长路漫漫，会展业成熟需要一个过程。休閒中心也是针对商务客，意味着始终需要庞大客源的支持。
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