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[1757] => 第三方支付
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[1758] => 科技前沿
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
2 S! h4 K* r( D* h
- ~/ q8 n6 A4 n% @) x5. 废话的不对称原则
9 t% ~. W" Y* z& t& w反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
/ s" y- a Q# d
2 k8 G& Z$ j9 d3 M回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。$ p. S6 |9 _) c9 B
8 |1 \4 s/ e5 ]1 `
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
7 [" n8 g) S8 v9 P+ U
2 M, R" a) ~1 _每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
6 P% \9 W' R/ X, z1 A
& [6 k9 ]7 \' @0 m( f( o d2 }" f而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
+ ?9 L* e8 z7 t5 y/ u0 n
' ~8 _& W7 r+ w6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)! |6 n+ d" o" z( y& w2 S" G
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。( {5 Z1 m+ ]! M6 f" G+ k, g
3 Q6 \9 t( X" s" T& G, U3 w. b
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
9 Y& w5 P1 D. {
& V5 s X( N: ^. \: y因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
u6 v, R c8 M( Z6 \# R
+ ~5 k0 K, b+ r6 Z* n4 `) j! v想象一下罕见事件:4 N+ T0 M S+ e7 N# e B
* p5 F9 I3 w: W4 f
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
. a7 C% s5 S3 r9 y& N! {& d: T& R, Z7 u' U, E% e
• 核打击, ~" h+ ^6 r& l% ~$ o- n
4 J- U7 ]' ^( }4 G$ m' m我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!# i+ a; |% N: ?. |
, V% B) N8 ^. Z* E# F2 ]
7.二八定律3 h" R L ?3 P9 T& z
在币圈:! @6 _! [5 S9 q" g5 q1 }
' w; q0 q) U0 k/ j3 z" j80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。1 ?6 n1 b* ~4 |* V2 g7 _+ b4 T
$ A& l% }! q: o9 D. r) {' a( o
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。, z6 V5 T/ M+ x$ y9 s( ]
4 l ^; l: y; [& C
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。: m# ]! ~; v9 M6 D# Y
0 G/ h8 ]8 a% a" w- y1 O N
8.网络效应: n5 |3 W6 w' L9 p2 V9 E
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。# {: M: E! o9 x+ k2 N) T
- G1 B6 f8 p" w$ G6 u
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
% g# o. C8 Z' G q- B9 z+ v( {+ X8 U6 m f2 ~) e
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。1 ^# h8 G7 g" H3 _) E
; J! z8 f( v$ \+ s9 d) N投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。7 |' Q! y2 |& ]! h
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