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相信大多数彩民都有一个共性特点,那就是通常会对一场比赛的胜负很有把握,却很难掌控。在做投注的时候,往往会因为这样的事情使彩迷朋友乱了方向,所以,追加投入有心却力不足。
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- f( k, K1 N* S7 i 那么有没有办法通过分析一些资料,尽可能的对平局有一个有底的判断呢?其实,影响比赛胜平负的因素很多,某些因素在一定的环境下往往会相互转化,进而最终左右比赛的最终结果。258小编特此对于如何预测平局给出几点建议,希望对彩民购彩起到帮助。
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1、弱队VS弱队。彩迷心中,弱弱对决是最需绞尽脑汁的。因为依据两队的实力分析,谁胜谁负均在情理当中,平局的判断就更加伤脑筋。赛场,弱队回到主场往往气势逼人,开场便是一阵猛攻。考虑到德甲有若干情绪化球队,即打顺什么都有,势如破竹;逆境中则一败涂地,溃不成军。赛场则相反,在球员个人能力相对粗糙的中下游球队中,快速出球的结果只能增加传球的失误率,流畅的配合无法层层推进,更不必说对对方球门施加压力,因而弱弱对决常会出现平局。因此需对德甲联赛中弱队在主场的表现看高一线。至于,在弱弱对决中出现胜平负的概率相对正常,应根据球队具体的状态及处境、天气、伤病等因素综合进行考虑。
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2、强队VS强队。彩迷会感觉,强强对决最很容易出现平局。这点在意甲尤为突出。上赛季意甲联赛前五名球队之间的交锋共计10场,其中有五场最终打平,占到50%。这是因为强队之间人员相对比较稳定,彼此知己知彼,很难在局部乃至整场比赛始终如一占据上风。因此,在意甲足坛,强强对话出现过多的平局也就不足为奇。但英超赛场却恰恰相反,以曼联、阿森纳和切尔西为代表的英超列强秉承英格兰进攻足球风格,大打攻势足球,一般胜负易分。尤其是地区或城市之间的德比大战,更是以疯狂进攻为荣。而德甲方面,赛场出现强强对决的情形很少,多以平局收场。. o+ R" _, s- G- y
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k0 b6 k" Y9 Q0 N. x 3、强队VS弱队
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' [4 U9 q8 T* l+ v0 @ ①主强客弱。在这种情况下,应视客队当时的联赛处境和状态具体分析。一般而言,在联赛初期,做客的弱旅很难在强大的主队面前全身而退。但在联赛的中后期,因为成绩的压力及其他场外因素的影响,此时的客队很可能会大爆冷门。其中,英超和德甲极易出现以弱平强或胜强的战例;而在意甲的多数比赛中出现以上情形的几率很少,发生以上几率一般在意甲最后六轮较为频繁。
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5 y$ K$ _; ~/ M7 i- V ②主弱客强。主弱客强的比赛表面看上去很难判断,大多数彩迷往往从主场氛围方面进行判断,强调主场优势这一点无可厚非,但需要注意把握关键。英超和德甲两大联赛冠军的产生通常是比较对弱队的胜率。即在主场战绩相当的情况下,谁在弱旅身上犯错少,谁就有机会问鼎联赛桂冠。因此,弱主逞强在英超和德甲的市场较少。而在意甲,强队不但要面临球队自身联赛成绩的压力,而且还要承担俱乐部高层以及球迷的双重责难,客场作战压力极大,很容易阴沟翻船,被弱旅逼平或击败。 |
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