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[体育菠菜心得方法]
《足球财富》-第2部分 亚洲盘口-第3章 盘路分析法和欧亚分析法-[第一节1]
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第一节 盘路分析
- X9 r; U6 Z0 f3 y# i: z3 e 盘路分析包括:盘口动态分析、公司间的横向对比分析、理论盘口与实际盘口对比分析(盘型与盘口分析)。
6 j7 A9 |( A, K6 O6 g6 ?一、盘路动态分析方法
( P1 L; `) }2 W 盘路动态分析的要点,是对盘口和水位走势的动态分析,这个动态走势,就是盘口从初盘开始直至终盘,整个阶段的变化过程。; r% j/ |3 r4 b% T3 A u: z
包括以下三种盘路:
! @" n% y/ }9 v( t5 d 1、给水型盘路
$ e2 l" Z# o2 R A/ d 例:利物浦1:2 里昂
+ P* x. r! B9 G$ W' `1 t4 f# p8 w& J3 l 半球/一球 1.00(终盘)
$ y2 ~4 |3 l W' U, {) b' _ 半球/一球 1.01
1 X1 `0 b% m* v 半球/一球 0.99( Z- l- {8 z, p5 h5 m( J8 K
半球/一球 0.95. m2 o. W1 Y- O2 [; q
半球/一球 0.925
+ m c. m1 `3 T0 L; l1 z 半球/一球 0.94
1 t6 u+ Z! S0 E0 |! c4 [2 j+ g 半球/一球 0.95# y4 r: p/ u1 E5 |0 q5 y* t
半球/一球 0.95
! }( `; S8 i1 N! g# Q 半球/一球 0.98' T. k F2 ?" d9 o" R( N
半球/一球 1.02
& D& _/ ]- o$ X& R9 H7 _! s 半球/一球 1.02
' b# ~/ ^4 z8 o/ s! E! I) r! \1 p* r; h- M 半球/一球 1.058 @; ?7 e: D( b
半球 0.78 (初盘)如图,利物浦在升盘升水到半球/一球后,上盘一直处于降水状态,应是上盘热的表现,但是,当水位降到0.925时开始回升到1.01,这个0.925-1.01的回升过程,就叫给水,上盘好处太大,因此上盘不出,最后1:2主场落败。
9 s2 T* C3 {4 f2 G 2、阻上型盘路7 H3 h- e3 W, ]
例:卢塞恩 1-0 苏黎世(瑞士超) { Z; x+ H# M0 P
平手 1.00(终盘)/ g/ B" \% @ V9 L% `+ l( F5 k6 y
平手 1.005 r/ d# B: G/ g. v9 C" q2 A
平手 0.975
5 h7 n: G% Y% n. I 平手 0.9753 Y, ~/ N7 c. c4 }
平手 0.95
" d4 v, E D3 k 平手 0.95
! D! Q ~+ P! y: K: h 平手 0.95
- K4 p0 V; \" E+ B+ C0 ~: U 平手 0.925
& S1 d+ t v2 `3 B 平手 0.9256 g$ @' u8 `6 X s: }2 B9 j
平手 0.90
: [- \7 R0 `. \ V, y* z1 \ 平手 0.88# B. ]4 O8 G% O8 N8 R
平手/半球 1.10
9 r8 H, U5 r6 m C* f6 _, f0 r" A9 ^+ j 平手/半球 1.10(初盘)如图,上盘水位降盘后还在持续攀升,始终是在做不看好上盘的表现,上盘顺利打出。
3 i7 k! d3 ]% S0 V9 d% X( X* T 这一盘路的特征是:水位呈现一种持续上升的状态,不能升降反复震荡,否则就不符合此盘路特点。
3 Z' a( a3 s7 V3 @7 w 3、诱上型盘路: K" c( o- T8 A8 ?
与阻上型相反,此盘路特征是通过盘口或水位震荡,达到引导目的。. u/ K! z: ]0 N. ^% i( d
例:哈德斯菲尔德 0:0 斯托克港(英甲)$ C& j/ V2 G% v) C' u
一球 0.60% V; t. P) `8 x8 v5 e. X% y7 ?4 }
一球0.70 [7 H9 h/ f) Y1 P) r
一球0.785 I. U9 I# x }- `6 L
一球0.82
1 M/ K8 k- [8 a% r0 k 一球0.82
! @) |4 W: o/ [0 ] 一球0.88
! Q, F# }/ V* N( R9 @ ~% b 一球0.88$ Z! H. }, M7 ~& n$ h7 f( t6 O/ p, t
一球0.85
' M) w2 U+ q4 @8 `# X: r 半球/一球0.62
+ Y$ c3 z. i. K( ~4 ~ 半球/一球0.76(初盘)注:斯托克港=史托港
2 O% v4 l* T2 e: t 如图,上盘一直处于低水区间,并不断降水,升盘后给个更高的水位,再持续降水到超低水,典型的诱上型盘路。, C `" r9 ^! x! m
以上三类动态分析盘路方法,在实战中应用较为普遍,在准确掌握的基础上其胜率尚算理想,但是,在实际操作中还应注意两个非常重要的问题:) X6 R' b7 C" l' s
A.盘路分析的前提还是要对盘型有一个明确定位,首先还是要得出对上下盘的理论评价,再根据评价与实际盘的对照,确定庄家的造热方向。, M1 f! ]3 Q* \
B.盘路分析一定要注意注重欧赔和其他指数的指导性。 |
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