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[lastpost] => 2774980 艾略特波浪专家：牛市结束，比特币价格可能跌至 7 万美元或更低（转） 1760891218 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
从比特币到以太坊：一位鲸鱼的 26 亿美元豪赌如何震撼市场（转）
[复制链接]
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接受者买入量和 CME 未平仓合约的上升支撑了以太坊，而比特币的未平仓合约持平表明势头正在减弱。
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$ n' {, `, V; E; c& Y4 F. `本周，一家大型加密货币巨头实施了近几个月来最大的投资组合转移之一，成为头条新闻。
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根据 Lookonchain，投资者抛售约 22,769比特币[BTC]在 Hyperliquid 上持有价值 25.9 亿美元的 ETH，然后买入 472,920 ETH（22.2 亿美元）现货，并开立 135,265 ETH（5.77 亿美元）多头。2 H- S" E9 a$ D& c' O
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此举的规模已使市场注意力转向以太坊[ETH]这引发了一个问题：第二大加密货币是否即将在短期内超越比特币。7 O) ]0 L, `' O+ i
4 K* e- t" Z8 A# }: B6 e; Q8 @: Q解读鲸鱼行为的字里行间
: U& U; z" ~0 @# Z% G. C/ J8 ]6 g7 {大型参与者并不总是能正确预测市场，但他们往往行动坚定。事实上，鲸鱼对 ETH 的轮换反映了各交易所 Taker 买入量的明显上升。
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从 7 月底的 82 亿美元基线到 8 月中旬超过 200 亿美元的多次 [飙升]，买家始终表现出积极提高报价的意愿。- w2 p5 q6 ~, L$ i, g3 a# I$ N. O
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从历史上看，接受者买入量的激增往往先于短期反弹，因为这反映出市场参与者渴望支付更高的价格，而不是被动等待。
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( ]( V- \& b( s8 D# J' ~7 p7 ~自然，这种积极的姿态会为上涨势头增添动力，并可以作为市场情绪转变的早期信号。7 {. E( g# O' u2 |+ `" x& p
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为什么是以太坊而不是比特币？
$ l8 z! I' g# V; _( E机构资金流动也支持了这一观点。芝商所 (CME) 的 ETH 期货未平仓合约一直在攀升，这表明尽管散户参与度有所滞后，但专业交易员的参与度仍在不断提升。
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& \+ `: t" D; c8 ~& _% d. J5 e话虽如此，比特币看起来有些疲软。BTC 未平仓合约持平，近期价格走势与以太坊的势头相比缺乏说服力。BTC 虽然没有崩盘，但似乎正在盘整。
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# O( c5 O+ \! X' e最重要的是，对于管理数十亿资产的巨鲸和其他投资者来说，这足以成为轮换资本的理由。$ _* T% s. s7 G5 z( r& T, R
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更大的图景- G9 ~2 x2 f' E0 z0 d+ l
这是以太坊真正摆脱比特币阴影的开始吗？ 现在说还为时过早。4 S c& D6 q8 n. k# o, @
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然而，鲸鱼信心、机构活动和看涨技术信号的结合使 ETH 在当前市场动态中占据优势。. l* b1 i* k [2 J) ^9 P3 ?" L' _; _
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如果势头保持下去，以太坊可能会继续领先，而比特币则会进行整合，同时市场将测试 ETH 能走多远。" n C% m0 k9 [7 O6 a9 S
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市场上一波又一波，鲸鱼们豪赌如何影响行情真不好说。 |
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肯定是有人去操控比特币 |
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