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[lastpost] => 2689036 首位中本聪合作者揭露比特币诞生秘辛，Blockstream 创办人展望BTC前景。 1730780325 天策-七玥
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一周热点回顾总结【只关注与交易相关】： & Z( W- n# ?1 U% V( C- w
1、OP上线，以太坊L2网络Optimism锁仓量超10亿美元，排在Arbitrum后面【关注Arbitrum也有可能获得空投】；
* S I; t+ r- @+ m6 o7 I2、USDT场外价格持续缩水，迹象表明有资金在不断的离场；
; P' _/ K6 ^" k7 q2 t, u1 w8 N( S3、链上数据，以太出货量远大于BTC，行情波动较大； 9 c( v# a$ g) [$ c* j. K
4、非农公布后美联储6月份加息50个基点的概率为99.3%，预计到12月欧洲央行加息幅度将超过125个基点；
6 n5 e* x0 _0 f$ {5、数字货币与美股联动关系，交易需密切关注美股走势； $ i8 a( H! s: X6 E: j8 F" U
6、GMT：STEPN官方费用地址转出3100万美元，持续进行变现之旅；
9 V0 q" |% Q4 O7、WAVES链上总锁仓量近17亿美金，增幅度较大 。
1 i. t" N' M3 T& e6 S( @一周链上数据明示：
9 u. Z' Z8 W$ S, f j! B4 T下图为一周内涨跌幅： # V$ F4 N" O/ S; t, f
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1、WAVES，俄罗斯的波币表现突出。【思考：除了消息面和底层发展逻辑，在K线动向是否可以明示行情走势？】；第二名是：ADA,大家有目共睹，此项目属于优质的投资标的，可作为持续跟踪的交易品周。【思考：投资逻辑里面，看空不做空的投资标的筛选，优质的资本币只考虑做多的单边思维】
! o) c3 h8 c- L" u2、表现不错的主流标的：AAVE、AXS、XLM、ICP 【LUNA，只需考虑做空对冲】；
$ i m0 T2 v' D) H, k- u# h下图为以太坊链上净流入交易所数量视图：
$ \) y; z( `; G9 N5月22-6月2日一周时间，ETH净流入交易所296360枚。【思考：大家把币从钱包转到交易所是为什么？是屯币生息吗？】一周的拉高单纯目的就是为了出货。以太的升级转型延期，导致资金撤离外流。 ! f1 b9 b5 Q' e, L
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下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图：
: s7 ?: r9 e X6 S0 V8 B- ]) I下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图：5月22-6月2日一周时间，BTC净流入交易所5447.84枚。其中高位32000--30650区间出货最大。6月3日在29530附近吸筹建仓2732枚BTC。
* y# j4 Y/ R8 a8 p8 {' q# K下图为ETH/BTC交易视图： # I% N: {3 k/ m% x! t' e9 C
自从5月11日开始，天平开始了倾斜，以太的转型拖延导致了以太大饼的强弱区分。【内部学习会和大家甄别这里的奥秘】 , r+ J5 V) E7 ~) X( T
1 o5 y/ r* Y* u4 e) m+ i$ T
链上数据汇总：盘口来到了月线级别的调整，519的底部调整从超跌——超跌反弹——震仓——二次测试——终极震仓背离走了大约75天时间；本次为月线级别，每个时间级别的走完需要的时间周期可想而知，从链上数据看来，机构尚未开始集中式建仓，说明目前的市场还不是大鳄的心理价位。等待——右侧是最佳的机会。 & ]" B# e" Y' V4 @8 @: D/ C
大盘行情简览：
6 d, g, I7 U" b% Q目前大盘处在日线级别的调整周期，每个次级别大概率要形成不同的超跌反弹的走底形态。建议逢高做空、走底做多，现货不急。熊市交易快进快出，不恋战不贪不急不躁。
# Z2 x4 P7 [ c
, `# V2 S- R( f: k0 y% U周末行情震荡为主【今日不做操盘建议】
8 o: f2 Q3 f8 L7 y, c$ N祝大家节日安好！周末祥和！ 来源：金色财经 |
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