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小分3种情况:
8 m. P4 v5 a7 v" }% p Z8 U8 C' K) w3 o, K1 B' P- b6 `0 _
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。8 \! Q# q$ C7 a8 e% R7 l. i/ W
" V+ |* y' U, }8 m
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。; j) p/ e; w1 ^" V# x' G6 T% ?
) c4 L8 R) e$ A- t+ r' v& H9 }7 } o3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。9 R0 d$ p: I6 y0 J0 j9 s9 y7 G
* y; U9 ?0 W4 c% }
2张牌8或9点的情况有: P& k" V3 J" L: {* G: a
1 k, e9 p8 }' V' x3 C* D" M
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
" a2 Q) {0 E" g) a
5 U" c. @$ O) i1 {: [4 a! y1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/4156 Z' k" o2 q5 s8 ~' c
5 ^) L5 b1 G' _3 o, ~/ s
4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415# _! w. e) r" }8 @$ S, y1 X& H
; r+ \5 B; I- j" o
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/4153 o. G! c# w' V
+ ~' b, T% W+ B) y* P i由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。( F& A& p3 ?9 S2 X- i/ T
4 y8 m+ Z; v' ^- V$ Z: _; v
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
. G( a( x% I* z7 {) ?. c$ i9 R5 ~( g% R0 ^% e
那么我们可以得出$ z6 K: J& g% g/ o, R
2 |% T$ B: }2 J- {1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.1894346629 {# E" R1 u' i3 B4 t+ _
" b3 g0 Q' k, @2 T$ \% d
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 ; w( E+ `7 B, g6 {+ f( D3 e" ^
! o0 ]; y$ C) H ~/ p4 _
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.0358854910 v+ l( A4 Z' \% w$ {5 ]* ], `
# M' J# U/ p" W! ~1 U. H% z所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323) x" ]2 O9 l4 J. Q0 F8 u
# b9 F( I/ Q, B0 O6 j
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
, b8 g4 D+ [8 e5 r |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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