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[体育菠菜心得方法] 关于大球联赛与小球联赛的分类
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大球联赛与小球联赛) N4 J: j0 A6 G! S! M% I1 w
        关于大小球的研究,是一个资深玩家必须重视的课题,很多人研究赔率和让球盘口,而对庄家为每一场球设置的大小球盘与比赛走势之间的关联,知之甚少.其实,大小球盘,同样可以成为你分析比赛的一个重要辅助工具.
* a# z1 F) [" C. \8 k" U理解大小球盘,和理解让球盘的道理是一样的.理论上讲,庄家既然给出一场球的大小球盘,那么,大球和小球出现的概率应该是相当的.就好象任何一个让球盘,出现上,下盘的几率相同一样,大小球盘,同样存在问题盘,同样隐含庄家对一场球走势的预测和判断.
# P8 X7 G- i  N, V$ Y( r        要洞察大小球盘设置是否合理,你首先要知道各大联赛的进球规律,哪些属于大球联赛?哪些属于小球联赛?哪些属于中性联赛?之所以要进行归类,是为了更准确地判断庄家的真实意图与动机.一般来讲,2.5球,可以作为区分大球联赛与小球联赛的分界点.所谓大球联赛,是指进球比较多,打法相对开放的联赛,而小球联赛指的是进球少,打法保守的联赛.当然,你必须知道,任何事物都不是绝对的,这里指出的,是一个联赛的普遍现象.下面,我们来对玩家介入比较多,相对重要的联赛进行一次分类.
: `5 U8 S9 L" a/ X5 L        大球联赛(新加坡联,日本J联,瑞典超,挪超,芬超,德甲,匈甲,荷甲,荷乙,巴西甲)
; K$ ~" M- _. D& `) P5 g" H. w/ z. @3 f        小球联赛(澳A联,韩国k,法甲,法乙,意甲,意乙,罗甲,捷甲,俄超,西乙,希腊甲)
8 [. o0 e- p3 ?& s1 ]* d- b2 B        中性联赛(英超,英冠,西甲,德乙,奥甲,丹超,瑞士超,阿甲,智甲,墨西联)0 r3 }% E# [. v% l0 H7 }2 K
        在大球联赛里,绝大多数比赛的大小球盘设置,都会以2.5球为门槛,崇尚进攻的如荷甲,荷乙,新加坡联,日本J联等,甚至会以3球以上作为门槛,而小球联赛,多以2/2.5为门槛,打法保守的如韩国k,澳A联,法乙,罗甲等,甚至以2球以下作为门槛.要利用好大小球盘这一辅助工具,同样离不开对球队基本面的熟悉与掌握程度,通过大小球盘,除了可以让你对一场球的进球数有一个基本判断外,更重要的是,如果能同时结合赔率和盘口来看,尤其在深盘下(让一球以上),大小球的设置对判断一场球是赢球赢盘,赢球输盘,还是平局输盘,甚至输球输盘,都有异乎寻常的辅助作用,限于篇幅,无法一一举例,就用切尔西在欧冠中的两场球来看看如何利用大小球盘:
3 q7 t! Z+ ~# [, y2 x        (1)切尔西(中性联赛)-奥林匹亚科斯(小球联赛) (皇 冠临场:主让1.5/2,大小球盘2.5/3)$ q, y! J7 @, |
        (2)切尔西(中性联赛)-罗森博(大球联赛) (皇 冠临场:主让2球,大小球盘2.5/3)  c; V! ]8 P! A2 \' X! o/ V
        这两场球,至少有两点是共通的:
& T# F, {8 w" U$ z; q7 I        (1)庄家对切尔西的看好,甚至已经到了恐惧的程度./ k6 Q  `6 o& Z0 m$ v; T+ Y
        (2)大小球盘的设置是一样的.
: B* A* B* e+ @/ d6 q$ d        对手,一个是希腊传统三强之一,小球联赛的代表,深喑防守之道.另一个是挪超班霸,大球联赛的代表,典型的顾头不顾尾的进攻主义者.只需要通过这样粗糙的基本面,你至少应该能够得出两个初步的结论:(1)面对防守能力极强的奥林匹亚科斯,2.5/3的大小球盘设置比较合理,庄家对切尔西的信任度显然更真实一些(比分3:0),(2)面对以疯狗打法著称的罗森博,在让两球盘面下,大小球盘居然维持在2.5/3,毫无疑问,庄家并不惧怕两支进攻能力极强的球队,打穿这个2.5/3的大小球盘,也就是说,这场球的进球数在两球以内,才是庄家的真实判断,那么,你完全可以通过这个大小球的问题盘口,放心地买下盘(比分1:1).
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
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