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[lastpost] => 2791316 比特币5.6万美元的底线，流动性在11万美元附近增强。（转） 1766333433 jackcool1011
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比特币5.6万美元的底线，流动性在11万美元附近增强。（转）
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比特币目前呈现出分化的走势，接近 5.6 万美元的实际价格被认为是关键的熊市价位。与此同时，周期时机和币安清算集群则预示着波动性可能出现的下一个冲击点。
8 J3 h: E9 i' s& D& p实际成交价 5.6 万美元，被标记为比特币“熊市”水平Coin Bureau 警告称，比特币的“熊市点位”在 56,000 美元附近，并指出该价位与比特币网络的实际价格相符，而且历史上该价位与重大抛售后的周期底部相吻合。
, z+ |0 i: D3 f; C比特币周实际价格对比：来源：[url=]TradingView，Coin Bureau[/url]
1 Z1 E' Z$ S" R- S该账号在X论坛发帖称，比特币在之前的周期中曾三次“测试实际价格”，每次都标志着底部。帖子指出，2018年比特币价格下跌了约60%，新冠疫情期间下跌了约72%，2022年熊市下跌了约77%。 帖子中分享的 TradingView 周线图显示，2025 年 12 月 21 日，比特币在 OKX 交易所的交易价格约为 88,122 美元，而“BTC 支撑线”位于 56,240 美元。该图表还标出了价格从近期高点区域向该实际价格区间移动的潜在走势，这意味着如果价格再次触及该水平，则可能下跌约 55%。 分析师称，比特币周期在过去三轮上涨中长度相似。与此同时，加密货币分析师本杰明·考恩表示[url=]比特币的[/url]根据价格从周期底部移动到后续峰值所需的时间来看，过去三个市场周期的持续时间大致相同。 ! f. |4 h+ v+ O- y3 d2 h
比特币市场周期底部投资回报率。来源：[url=]进入加密宇宙[/url] : U" s) |$ c) y/ I$ J N2 y/ l
在X网站的一篇文章中，考恩列出了三个时期及其持续时间：2015-2017年为1067天，2018-2021年为1059天，2022-2025年为1062天。他表示，时间上的相似性是一个简单的指标。 帖子中分享了一张名为“BTC市场周期底部投资回报率”的图表，该图表以“自市场周期底部以来的天数”为横坐标，以投资回报率为纵坐标，并叠加了多个周期。最新的周期线显示该指标上升至图表的最右侧，同时图表还标注了“自上一个市场周期底部以来的投资回报率：7.921（至峰值）”。 比特币流动性集群凸显币安的关键压力区域CryptoGoos 标记了两个主要的流动性集群。[url=]比特币[/url]在币安上，指出大杠杆头寸可能面临清算压力的价格区域。
0 y: c+ l4 p1 Z比特币 (BTC) 和美元 (USDT) 清算热力图。来源：[url=]CoinGlass 通过 CryptoGoos[/url] 分析师在 X 平台上发布了一篇博文，分享了一张币安 BTC/USDT 清算热力图，涵盖了大约一个月的交易数据。图表显示，在当前价格上方存在一个密集的流动性上限区域，大致位于 10 万美元出头到 11 万美元附近。该区域反映了杠杆集中，可能会在市场波动期间引发价格波动。 与此同时，热力图显示，现货价格下方存在一个流动性较低的区域，大约在7万美元左右。该区域呈现为一条明亮的带状区域，表明该区域积累了大量杠杆敞口，如果抛售压力加剧，这些敞口可能会成为下行的“磁铁”。 图表显示，比特币价格在 90,000 美元下方横盘整理，流动性在两端均有所增加。这种结构表明，市场仍处于两个主要杠杆区域之间，如果价格接近其中任何一个区域，都可能出现更剧烈的波动。 + n ~* J/ ~5 |0 A( u, B, r
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