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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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+ B0 T% X: v+ n1 }0 H( j
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。1 p7 O9 `+ G) O1 s$ D2 L2 R+ W
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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为什么？8 v/ D C. s& [8 F {
, c0 b( u7 l' Y' `& }0 q! G1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
/ i( M5 Z; ~+ A9 }2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。7 f: P2 v% e3 V
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。$ t( k' X) _# J: _( E' [
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
1 Z5 k/ g+ C6 B/ H 第一把输，你没有了。
# S7 Z7 E$ P- b6 M! ~' K 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
/ u; B* Y+ o R 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。) u9 ^6 g8 j' R# p7 b
…………无限下去。
R$ s( N, G9 o R7 `清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
8 o2 f0 d- c1 C2 M' [& v1 A- t+ w% @+ X& f S c* K3 b4 ?
是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。2 ?$ ^7 \7 i$ k8 z; [
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这就是总是输的原因。。) {$ @4 W9 ~: f
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？: |: d5 E u. _8 B/ H- f
$ W/ j5 F7 Z& V( o; P1、我觉得可以打偏差。
! W9 B. ?$ X( V+ t2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。5 I! h3 \2 s5 z) J% @
, e- f$ Z1 Q5 ]- `但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
6 U1 j# o z2 B$ p% H) u7 ?1 U" G$ z4 Y8 H a8 W5 }: r
人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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