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[虚拟币交流]
比特币触底暴涨？山寨腰斩，跌到底了！抄底黄金坑，错过再等4年！ （转）
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昨晚BTC两次回踩下降趋势线，均是一碰就弹，过去一个月BTC深度连续震荡探底势，逼多已经到了一定程度。今天的反弹BTC的主力数据虽然是流出的，
8 Y7 X+ _+ X: s( ]- K- v! z: X但短线无论如何得有一波反抽修复一下指标了，在触底93321后，目前已经反弹了 3000刀 +的空间！
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在没有大的利空条件下，BTC大概率通过区间震荡来完成这轮调整。 震荡的区间在9万到10.8之间，这个位置磨的时间越长，后续越难跌下去。所以
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y) Z% z, S3 \. Z, G `短期偏向会有一波反弹行情，大家见好就收，不要格局，只做波段。2月22-24日可能会见底，耐心等待几天。 J' j2 |. V8 M
# G% \6 H! o' ?7 t! N2 ?0 E) c一段行情就做一段的事情，不要用“牛市 ”去锚定一段行情。
% m4 H, K: j# Q; V( n/ m
/ H. H E- l: A+ C3 M我对于今年后市的行情也挺看好，价格是循环的，跌多了 跌到跌无可跌了就会涨，前提是你在那个时候还有满仓的U去选择抄底的标的，而不是“牛市”还在，- }- Z' F) v- D# G. m/ A
7 h/ [+ v! q' V3 m: s# ?+ j一定能来，但是自己的仓位被套了50%，翻倍才回本。
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山寨有正在触底的迹象，很多板块洗盘的深度都差不多了，比如以太坊、SOL、MEME和AI这些比较热门的板块都有长时间的深度调整。就拿比较强势的PEPE，* L# p% y, ]8 }# P( [, J+ u
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在2月3号那天也从最高点，回调了72％，以太坊2月3号最低到2125.01，从高点回调了49％。SOL在2月9号继续跌破，洗到160.88，回调了45％。还有bgb从最
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" Q9 b$ b( V& R% f4 t o高点跌到4.515，也回调了48％。+ r m6 p6 T* ? Y0 l
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目前最担心的是比特币继续下跌，甚至插针跌破8万9，其他又得跌的一塌糊涂………现在市场就是靠比特币来操控盘面，之前最后一跌往往是通过砸比特币
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来洗出山寨的恐慌盘，让大家割肉离场。但市场留给空头的时间窗口不多了。要真是3月份还继续大跌，连着3~4个月都大跌。这个市场还有人玩吗？真的是
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离了个大谱，那后面就只剩疯狂上涨了。5 {, K5 M' M6 c/ u' G9 Y! I* @
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总的来说短期偏向比特币会有一波反弹行情，对流动性释放利好最多的是下半年，降息重启、稳定币法案落地、以太坊质押合规等应该会接踵而至。我认为下
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! Y' @/ @: l/ i7 n3 p- `- g% o半年将会看到二级山寨爆发，接下来开始找好标的布局，这轮周期的真正高潮应该快到了。在这波来临时前，选择以下山寨建仓：
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2 i- E5 k3 t+ S* q1、MSTR、SMLR等跟随BTC趋势走的美股，算溢价率。% c9 L+ {% H* ^, ^1 L ~/ O, [8 h( j3 Z, c
% ^4 i* R, Y/ U! q2、BTC带着ETH涨，同时ETH的叙事炒作，带着大多数二级山寨涨，因为流动性不够，资金炒作赛道少，所以要选热门赛道。还有ETH生态。- C4 S' q7 f% Q: i) g; R# @9 J
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3、SOL涨带动链上MEME，不管是AI 概念还是名人效应。还有SOL生态. M9 a' T, e: z, |3 a% A1 m
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4、平台币，BNB、GT、BGB等等，平台打新、挖矿。# i# |0 t& a" H o1 i9 _
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5、其他美系炒作ETF的，比如LTC、XRP、DOGE6 C. u2 N* t9 B+ v
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