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[lastpost] => 2688481 非农就业爆冷！比特币冲高回落71,500美元，降息预期火速升温！ 1730747383 ghjkop
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当前离线
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一周热点回顾总结【只关注与交易相关】：
9 K# i: k$ |) @* s3 g. Q* b1、OP上线，以太坊L2网络Optimism锁仓量超10亿美元，排在Arbitrum后面【关注Arbitrum也有可能获得空投】； ( V3 ~) y, j# a& v5 i) I6 J
2、USDT场外价格持续缩水，迹象表明有资金在不断的离场； + P! ?" }, o. [+ _
3、链上数据，以太出货量远大于BTC，行情波动较大； + s+ G' M" H. A1 E* s/ _0 G
4、非农公布后美联储6月份加息50个基点的概率为99.3%，预计到12月欧洲央行加息幅度将超过125个基点；
+ k* j6 B! _3 s0 \3 ^( ]1 o b5、数字货币与美股联动关系，交易需密切关注美股走势；
9 c& [8 x8 z6 q: g6、GMT：STEPN官方费用地址转出3100万美元，持续进行变现之旅； 9 T$ F/ Z% g6 g, O$ X. b: R
7、WAVES链上总锁仓量近17亿美金，增幅度较大 。
$ a. C8 q$ a2 `& n一周链上数据明示： % q5 A3 t+ N& B
下图为一周内涨跌幅： ( a- u$ F+ L+ Y. I$ Q0 s8 [
5 @, r' c) [$ P0 ?" e0 c
1、WAVES，俄罗斯的波币表现突出。【思考：除了消息面和底层发展逻辑，在K线动向是否可以明示行情走势？】；第二名是：ADA,大家有目共睹，此项目属于优质的投资标的，可作为持续跟踪的交易品周。【思考：投资逻辑里面，看空不做空的投资标的筛选，优质的资本币只考虑做多的单边思维】 5 I; ] Q* U5 D: I& b% [) p
2、表现不错的主流标的：AAVE、AXS、XLM、ICP 【LUNA，只需考虑做空对冲】； & W: C" L6 |" S& o! r
下图为以太坊链上净流入交易所数量视图： 5 h$ x/ O; y: r3 X j# h5 N& J* l
5月22-6月2日一周时间，ETH净流入交易所296360枚。【思考：大家把币从钱包转到交易所是为什么？是屯币生息吗？】一周的拉高单纯目的就是为了出货。以太的升级转型延期，导致资金撤离外流。 + D0 P( t3 Y+ c7 `
2 u$ _8 d; T: Q. ? a下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图：
2 B+ {3 G6 M: s0 e' N/ r下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图：5月22-6月2日一周时间，BTC净流入交易所5447.84枚。其中高位32000--30650区间出货最大。6月3日在29530附近吸筹建仓2732枚BTC。
# Z) f& w- m& Q& f& ^) i& e' O下图为ETH/BTC交易视图：
5 C7 a/ } c; P- S自从5月11日开始，天平开始了倾斜，以太的转型拖延导致了以太大饼的强弱区分。【内部学习会和大家甄别这里的奥秘】
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/ i& `# N; m7 r& Z: k7 _
链上数据汇总：盘口来到了月线级别的调整，519的底部调整从超跌——超跌反弹——震仓——二次测试——终极震仓背离走了大约75天时间；本次为月线级别，每个时间级别的走完需要的时间周期可想而知，从链上数据看来，机构尚未开始集中式建仓，说明目前的市场还不是大鳄的心理价位。等待——右侧是最佳的机会。 5 b+ r M; e( e9 C
大盘行情简览： . _% }, l/ F! D4 l0 B1 G6 V2 B
目前大盘处在日线级别的调整周期，每个次级别大概率要形成不同的超跌反弹的走底形态。建议逢高做空、走底做多，现货不急。熊市交易快进快出，不恋战不贪不急不躁。 2 M- C) a. [: W1 S
1 P' x! `' B6 a S1 n周末行情震荡为主【今日不做操盘建议】
" |& G" {3 F' ^8 i5 F4 _, ]祝大家节日安好！周末祥和！ 来源：金色财经 |
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