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[虚拟币交流]
联准会暗示再升息！比特币跌破2.85万 全网爆仓1.27亿美元（转载）
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比特币(BTC)在7月中旬上冲至31,800美元高点，创下去年5月以来的新高后，此后就开8 e) {2 e+ Q2 N6 K
始不断在29,000美元至30,000美元盘整，价格似乎没有任何催化剂来掀起波澜。; U7 M- N6 W% T' R% m: Y$ g9 c( R
然而，就在今(17)日凌晨美国联准会(Fed)释出鹰派消息，让比特币从今早3点约29,100美元一路跌至最低28,400
% v: K3 I9 R2 N" s& A# Z0 i1 q& l美元，当前暂报28,584美元，近24小时下跌2.1%。0 z' f/ C" D2 }# Q3 T: [7 c$ D- f4 C
以太坊(ETH)同样呈现下跌走势，今晨跌破1800美元大关，从1,830美元左右跌至最低1,780美元，当前暂报1,796
7 k: y6 p% s6 W0 k' y: X2 u! x美元，近24小时下跌2.6%。
8 g5 n. s+ p1 f) @7 O, t- s过去12小时爆仓1.27亿美元
+ P8 p# g( q& |# i9 a3 G* `6 x9 c' U受今早下跌走势跌破盘整区间影响，Coinglass数据显示，过去12小时全网爆仓1.27亿美元，其中多单爆仓1.16亿
3 U* x7 U: h5 Y( D0 u1 W美元，BTC爆仓4,499.3万美元，ETH爆仓1,947.44万美元。: G8 J1 b2 {2 g* |0 s% s7 ` m, X
另一方面，TheBlock数据显示，加密交易所现货交易量的7天行动平均值降至112亿美元，不到今天3月份最高
3 ^% |% e3 O: B7 i7 {460亿美元的30%，反映出比特币的波动性处于历史低位，而交易量也处于2020年以来的最低水平。8 X5 B& L P. X
联准会会议记录：通膨仍有升温风险可能需进一步升息
$ a% M# K' w0 J& r- V2 Q' t6 f美国联准周三(16日)公布的7月会议记录显示，官员仍担心通膨难消退并暗示可能会继续升息。
5 ]0 d& B4 h# G6 K$ V5 R) [6 z* H0 c多数与会者仍认为通膨有显著升温风险，可能需要进一步收紧货币政策。与此同时，有一些与会者则表示，尽管
2 `* @2 |. E8 [/ G, [+ |「大多数」决策者继续将对抗通膨作为首要任务，但利率推得太高可能给经济带来风险，显见官员之间意见存有
% r+ v9 A/ k; U4 y P6 d分歧。
$ Q! X/ a8 I# B' E) r7 A7月的会议记录并未排除未来还要升息的可能性，对后续行动敞开大门。相比6月记录，7月最大的变动是利率指引& [- A4 |# Y% E) T; m
方面，指出将继续评估新数据及其对货币政策影响。5 |( Z6 D- k/ k* e1 y8 b
9月升息机率为13.5%
0 `4 P# s* K: h2 i据CMEGroup的FedWatch工具数据显示，截稿前市场认为9月会议将再升息1码的概率从11.5.上升至13.5%，而, m! q; F% K: G: A
保持不变的概率则从88.5%略降至86.5%。: h) d9 @! c. |% A) ?. g o. Z
Fed观察人士将聚焦下周由堪萨斯联准银行每年8月下旬在Jackson Hole举办全球央行年会，届时Fed主席鲍威尔
% ?+ r8 Z, i# l4 i0 }# ^(Jerome Powell)将发表谈话，可望从中找到未来利率政策方向的蛛丝马迹。0 {! j& ^, U. G$ U0 x: j/ R0 \
- T( L3 ~1 p# K0 r3 l, n1 j! e
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