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[seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a>
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经常看见有的玩家在分析比赛的时候说:“这是庄家在诱盘!”言之凿凿仿佛他自己就是庄家。
+ y" P" E+ b1 g' R* }# I庄家诱盘是有的,但玩家如何来判断呢?
1 S+ C+ f* n7 e' {- |& T9 k我们没有义务也没有能力去判断庄家是不是在诱盘!这是我的看法!只要庄家开出的盘口赔率及其变化是有明确的指向性的,我们就是要当他是真的!作为玩家应该以不变应万变,我们不是庄家肚子里的蛔虫,没有义务也没有能力去揣摩庄家的心理,我们就是根据庄家表现出来的盘赔变化结合基本面来得出自己的结论!您可以做一个统计:是盘赔变化和比赛结果吻合的概率高,还是相反的概率高。我的印象中,庄家诱盘的概率是很低的(并且庄家诱盘有很大的风险,这是另外的问题),我们不能舍本逐末舍高概率而就低概率。我还是认为:庄家可以逆向操作,玩家不能逆势而为。你庄家的两场比赛诱盘我输了,但有五场比赛或者三场比赛我赢了,总体上我还是胜利了。这就可以了!昨天(6月6日)的两场比赛有兴趣的朋友可以参考一下:西乙 | 5日23:59 | 完 | [6]艾爾切 | 1-2 | 梅西亞[20] |
美職業 | 6日04:00 | 完 | [8]多倫多FC | 0-0 | 肯薩斯巫師[14] |
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回复 1# cjgsrk 9 t; ~+ \/ B6 n3 l! V2 p6 p! u% v; K
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1 C6 G+ `: ~6 \5 d) ~8 ]4 U 我觉得老兄的这个帖子就是为我而发,最近发现自己掉进了这个泥沼里,看什么都是在诱!需要调整一下思路了! |
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回复 1# cjgsrk
) \* _4 W. y* }4 @, r! f0 k2 K7 U$ T" v! D' K9 N
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回看了一下艾尔切那场比赛,亚洲庄家都在降盘,而欧赔也均抬高主胜,从欧赔和压盘的趋势而言,这也是吻合的,如果我再去强求这是诱盘,确实是说不过去了! |
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记住一句话:庄家的操盘团队的能力永远大于个人$ m8 j" O6 B( M0 ~
/ e% i3 E; d1 O1 s# T4 _不要刻意的去猜测他们的意图$ w. a* }8 w) t
# S% j1 T+ s9 s6 P9 P* E0 Z0 u% `9 k得不偿失 |
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庄的盘路是回避风险,我们玩家是最危险的一批人,所有的风险都是我们承担 |
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谢谢楼主的知识分享!: y1 P. ?0 C9 ]( n
辛苦了! |
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