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[体育菠菜心得方法]
《足球财富》-第2部分 亚洲盘口-第3章 盘路分析法和欧亚分析法-[第一节1]
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第一节 盘路分析9 J, Z9 {5 P4 g
盘路分析包括:盘口动态分析、公司间的横向对比分析、理论盘口与实际盘口对比分析(盘型与盘口分析)。
3 v; q, F+ w8 C! h6 P: r% Y一、盘路动态分析方法
3 J2 i E2 n" p& H$ C& y) O 盘路动态分析的要点,是对盘口和水位走势的动态分析,这个动态走势,就是盘口从初盘开始直至终盘,整个阶段的变化过程。
8 Z* P" K3 n& k, e% r/ j# S 包括以下三种盘路:7 e4 I1 X( G) `; h- m( i
1、给水型盘路% \- Y o8 C0 l+ b5 x" \- h
例:利物浦1:2 里昂6 r6 L( X5 L& G6 L
半球/一球 1.00(终盘)
- {4 t: A, n/ U! a) F# v8 X7 F8 D/ R 半球/一球 1.01/ \* @1 _% N# d
半球/一球 0.992 ?9 i& m7 C7 S$ H; S
半球/一球 0.95
) y5 V. b! b9 ~& V1 U3 n 半球/一球 0.9251 r, f9 l3 v: b8 A5 w
半球/一球 0.94
' D- \! _1 I p9 n! H1 ] 半球/一球 0.95- ]8 J& [5 S; \! Y& p" v9 x
半球/一球 0.959 G' Q" r4 O& W, s/ ?; @5 Z$ M
半球/一球 0.98
* n/ r) ^" K7 L* F" g) ] 半球/一球 1.02$ ]6 s6 n3 G+ U. }$ b
半球/一球 1.02
# N" f1 Z8 @1 b7 |+ V4 D5 l 半球/一球 1.054 Y) _' Q0 y- C# x7 C
半球 0.78 (初盘)如图,利物浦在升盘升水到半球/一球后,上盘一直处于降水状态,应是上盘热的表现,但是,当水位降到0.925时开始回升到1.01,这个0.925-1.01的回升过程,就叫给水,上盘好处太大,因此上盘不出,最后1:2主场落败。
# w8 L1 h, J* n2 O8 C 2、阻上型盘路
; ?" j; q3 a/ |! V2 \5 l2 _ 例:卢塞恩 1-0 苏黎世(瑞士超)
- G6 Z$ t2 B8 H4 q3 ? 平手 1.00(终盘), M5 O8 l$ o) o) K( p2 Y
平手 1.00
7 f- `1 ^1 X& L# F 平手 0.975% ^ Q0 @+ ]5 b5 b7 ^# N) z# y
平手 0.975
& @' v2 M+ o D; R0 _6 M7 S! O2 U 平手 0.95
/ C' S: f2 e3 J( M) b+ m 平手 0.95. N3 v2 l$ j. l
平手 0.95, |5 J6 z* F; F0 Y& e* H
平手 0.925+ Y$ Q4 V. k+ v, f# \8 g' O) c7 W0 `
平手 0.925
9 l; \5 u* ~! L+ @5 Z% O1 z 平手 0.900 x4 R( u3 k7 H Z6 P" J) [4 i; C
平手 0.88
% l9 R+ Y. V% q, D 平手/半球 1.10
! G k7 J, n6 h 平手/半球 1.10(初盘)如图,上盘水位降盘后还在持续攀升,始终是在做不看好上盘的表现,上盘顺利打出。
9 n4 o4 E% B1 R% u3 e V: C 这一盘路的特征是:水位呈现一种持续上升的状态,不能升降反复震荡,否则就不符合此盘路特点。4 P, g5 ^$ w6 G- \- Y- P0 |
3、诱上型盘路& |1 F7 c( b+ U1 D0 C3 e9 K8 W$ p4 |
与阻上型相反,此盘路特征是通过盘口或水位震荡,达到引导目的。# r# P3 H- N; E ]
例:哈德斯菲尔德 0:0 斯托克港(英甲)
! S& n# ^ }5 I/ F, U 一球 0.604 C" C) E: i" T) M; o9 g A# R
一球0.70: J( z& Q' c9 b
一球0.78
4 u. T" F# L/ y2 j' r. D3 h 一球0.82. |/ L" Z3 r: N# T; O6 ?6 Q
一球0.82
* j) R- N9 i/ s4 V 一球0.88
) i4 }" z3 F8 s6 }- X 一球0.885 @' m8 t! T6 \, W0 i
一球0.85
/ O8 n7 i/ U( S2 E8 W& A 半球/一球0.626 _! O1 f" @& a
半球/一球0.76(初盘)注:斯托克港=史托港
1 M& w3 Z& v1 ` z- B 如图,上盘一直处于低水区间,并不断降水,升盘后给个更高的水位,再持续降水到超低水,典型的诱上型盘路。; n1 v; h2 ?: a5 T7 A
以上三类动态分析盘路方法,在实战中应用较为普遍,在准确掌握的基础上其胜率尚算理想,但是,在实际操作中还应注意两个非常重要的问题:" H# Y: s3 k$ H
A.盘路分析的前提还是要对盘型有一个明确定位,首先还是要得出对上下盘的理论评价,再根据评价与实际盘的对照,确定庄家的造热方向。
1 u; U8 ?. {2 X3 c: U- C5 N. s B.盘路分析一定要注意注重欧赔和其他指数的指导性。 |
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