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\7 e0 O3 H9 C v) g5 C比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
# R) [5 ]9 \' z' x X
( o0 ]. Q* `4 ^监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，( C3 e3 p( G, r& {9 ^
$ S( a+ v3 w3 E: o* B: }5 ^7 Y
专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
8 J3 o! Z* N P" S4 J, W: e, m2 h/ o% z4 F; l; s8 j
有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技. J" ?* R. j; [ `5 |
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股等风险较高的投资。 ( Z9 G( X7 t+ P6 \" o' u$ S
- } l* s* b6 x) b! Q芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储% Z2 h- `# C6 K l' ]( |3 x( P
8 |9 n& n/ I' Q- K9 x6 K4 k$ S明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 . t. ?! z3 ]" |. H% U, ^6 E# v: w
6 _3 D' p; M6 m' K* u$ Z现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
3 `: J, x H3 {% a: I+ c
& w2 S: t% t7 J& d- W q3 f因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 / k; _- z9 k7 z9 h% \
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 ( f5 x- ]7 r" ^6 Q
4 z: N' z4 y3 D+ |" E4 v7 E更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此( L& J% i. \& S1 |+ e: E1 I2 F7 S2 a
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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: Q6 o3 I4 n2 P8 G* T. |: f s库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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推动力之一。
U; _1 l' l5 s# T; r3 N5 k/ K+ {: _7 @+ }% u' Q
02
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/ {6 @, p6 s3 [# R9 v9 Q有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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2 C- _+ P( A1 O3 K" p: |& C加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至" J4 Y4 W V0 g9 j0 n5 W6 p5 D
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 5 l) N+ c v e6 F4 Y- t! `
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