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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
7 p" Q, b+ ?9 e* ]+ J/ n* c6 G; ^2 D* u" z
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
& {! `% V3 _9 l/ X* _6 [我们认为至少有以下几个原因：3 K8 t9 `; \! E! d
2 R. P+ Y$ _' W5 @1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
# c8 _8 u' |6 c3 a" `
1 I& U0 T) G& O4 o3 v. @7 o: F4 X+ c- I没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
* I3 p" k* m6 N
6 ^. m" p: I; u) t$ b3 ]中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全( x7 t! s* f7 D, y
6 b0 |- _2 X% e8 I! b* l: z
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
6 x2 Q+ ^% |* U% T( A3 E7 t$ q( O! x6 H0 Q5 _1 h. c, ]
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH : I/ `8 D# B! J! w3 y
/ x5 h3 m* t0 o& }6 Z! s+ s4 F
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和2 {* |% w! \- x" j
" } ^% B1 i; Q& U+ w
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿( ^! c6 D1 T: r( M
% Z5 b7 f$ ^3 \% {; E( K! ^
美金）。
' B0 U& n; Y& W. p* x) k1 B6 f; [4 e
" [! ^ Z- A4 d. e. K5 D0 Y
( v; Z: @7 R; \9 k2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
7 g& S) h) m. }: n$ Q' Y) I6 r0 `- z& S( t
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
( V% b w2 W/ A! g
5 D6 b2 |! {0 z1 [构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。- I. I- m, Q2 o t% q' z, ^
# |! _1 I/ r7 c+ ?3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户6 o6 V( ~; ^8 w* ^: K7 ]2 E
3 r1 Z) `0 D" y尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
" P: B% G7 R1 Z5 ?+ p4 O+ J
" l+ n3 G" F: K7 Q7 O- z4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL1 g# O0 P. c7 D0 R- J3 |4 E" J
5 v) t, L8 }% j9 l, t& B- o
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
% D S& f! @6 d6 n; N5 a( k5 {
; t, I# C0 Z0 g1 C( e) t4 y' u$ |果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美1 q" ?# ^ X! v: z. @
* x7 V) g6 h( l# ^" l
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
! b& V9 P1 Q6 ~* P; m
: r' q# N' r1 u" S+ ]6 M! ^, O1 ^) N" `- z2 X6 v
% _, _& ^2 ^! N m) h. h8 z0 c
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