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[lastpost] => 2678939 降息周期行情来了、接下来要怎么玩？（转） 1726812697 rainwang
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万众瞩目，美联储将公布9月利率决议。
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$ Z( d! d3 _1 J4 I9 R比特币跳水" N% E+ p, ?5 R/ p
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晚间，美股涨跌不一。
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黄金与白银出现小幅跳水。
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比特币方面，在经历前两天的上涨之后，也出现跳水，Coinglass数据显示，过去24小时之内，虚拟货币有超6万人爆仓。
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- F A( N6 A/ U0 X9 Q; d6 N1 R欧洲方面，英、法、德三国重要股指纷纷飘绿。
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美联储将公布9月利率决议/ C7 `* u9 @5 H6 s
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消息面上，美联储定于北京时间周四凌晨2点公布9月利率决议。" f$ H: K( q: ?
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美联储主席鲍威尔8月下旬曾表示，降息时机已到，几乎“明示”了美联储将在9月货币政策会议上宣布降息。然而，上周公布的数据显示，8月份美国核心CPI同比上涨3.2%，超出市场预期，又使市场对美联储大幅降息的预期有所降温。
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j; W. r" N6 A% f+ W' Z& V9 U. `6 f此前，市场普遍预计美联储将降息25个基点，在华尔街大行中，只有摩根大通预计美联储今日将降息50个基点，多数机构认为年底前会降息75个基点，花旗预测9月会议后会两次降息各50个基点。 M5 _3 M( W# P+ ?
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不过，素有“股坛教父”之称的沃顿商学院教授杰里米·西格尔近日撰文表示，美联储应考虑更大幅度的降息，否则将面临经济衰退风险。! ]+ T. z' b q2 J2 V
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此外，今晚，美国继续公布相关经济数据： [6 I0 i, J: e" y/ n
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美国8月新屋开工年化总数135.6万户，预期131万户，前值从123.8万户修正为123.7万户。
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美国8月新屋开工年化环比升9.6%，预期升5.8%，前值从降6.8%修正为降6.9%。
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1 [) D- o3 }- p) g) U- z8 i美国8月营建许可年化总数初值147.5万户，预期141万户，7月终值140.6万户。5 ?& L2 u& O! `. z
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美国8月营建许可初值环比升4.9%，预期升1.4%，7月终值降3.3%。% v0 I; q m5 K9 I/ W" {: Z
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