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最近这几天的走势和我预期的完全不一样，我还在看再次跌破1.8w，但是现在已经冲破2.3w了。我的观点依然不会改变，只是反弹，本轮熊市低点还没有到来，所以操作上只能遇到高位小仓位搏一搏，抄底仍然不是最好的时机。
重复的话不再多说了，可以看看前面我写的几篇文章，毕竟内外部环境没有丝毫改善，仅仅是以太坊转PoS,这也是一个不断拿出来说的事情，虽然一拖再拖，一年拖一年，但是谁让以太坊是山寨之王呢？体量第二的威力还是很大的，后面还会炒作，但是一定要清楚，这只是一个突破口，持续的增量资金进场才是上涨的源动力。最近这两三天不可否认看到了有持续的买入资金，但是这个资金量和时间还远远不够，需要继续观察，就像千金难买牛回头一样，千金难买熊转牛。我坚信，一定转不了。
看下相关数据，虽然比特币价格回升至2.3w美元以上，但不少业内分析认为本次短期上涨是“假象”，加密市场或将走向新低。加密货币分析师Dylan LeClair透露，目前仍有数以万计的BTC空头未平仓头寸仍存在，尤其是在6月15日至7月15日期间新开设了大量比特币空头头寸，这意味着尽管比特币短期内也许会进一步上涨，但仍有可能逆转走势并再次走低。
BitInfoCharts数据显示，比特币第三大巨鲸地址，也就是那个总是每次增持几百枚比特币的地址，1P5ZEDWTKTFGxQjZphgWPQUpe554WKDfHQ今日再次转移4.6万枚BTC，目前该地址余额为71,381.898枚BTC，持有量已降至第八位。查了下，昨天这个地址转移1.55万枚BTC。这个转移是转移到了交易所，结论只能是卖了。
根据Glassnode最新数据显示，持有超1000枚BTC的地址数量跌至4个月低点，地址数量为2151个。
加密分析公司CryptoQuant表示，矿工正迅速抛出他们持有的比特币。上周末仅24个小时内，比特币矿工就抛售了共计14000个比特币，按当前价格计算价值超过3亿美元。过去几周，比特币的抛售数量达到自2021年1月以来的最高点，这种现象被称为“矿工的投降”，通常表明矿工正准备出售加密货币储蓄，以持续支付采矿费用。比特币目前的交易价格约为21600美元，在过去一天内上涨了约3%。尽管如此，加密市场几个月来一直处于低迷状态，比特币从2021年11月约69000美元的历史高点下跌了近70%。较低的比特币价格和较高的能源成本正在急剧压缩矿工的利润率，这也是加密货币被加速抛售的原因之一，以试图遏制该行业持续波动的风险。 |
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