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以太合并日期公布BTC 和ETH大涨:熊市终于结束了吗
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从历史的角度来看,过去几个月整个加密货币市场已实现的价值损失已创下纪录,加密货币总市值从3万亿美元下降到9910亿美元。加密货币研究公司Delphi Digital最近的一份报告显示,在比特币价格下跌近40%,上周对世界各地的加密货币持有者来说是一个考验的时刻,通胀左右着风险资产的情绪,而美元则笼罩着悲观的气氛。成为有记录以来最糟糕的月份之一之后,6月对投资者来说尤其痛苦。鉴于市场大幅修正,一些比特币价格和链上指标已经开始达到类似于之前市场底部的水平,但这并不意味着交易员应该期待很快就会出现转机,因为历史表明,疲软期可能会持续数月。在有消息称其向权益证明(PoS)挖矿的过渡可能很快完成的情况下,以太坊在最近几天的价格上涨方面表现出色,仅在过去一周就上涨了25%。那么就代表牛市就即将来了吗?本文详细讲解。
宏观因素的影响难以支撑数字货币熊市
压制加密货币和其他风险资产的最重要因素之一是美元走强。美元指数(DXY)长期以来与加密资产的表现呈负相关关系,今天跌破108,此前一周达到了20年来的新高。大家可以看到“2014年、2018年和2021年的3个主要的比特币高点,大致与人民币的高点或美元的低点重合。”
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