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新加坡DB业有望在后年赶超拉斯维加斯
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在未来两年,新加坡新兴的DB业将对美国拉斯维加斯构成挑战,原因是亚洲赌客更偏爱建得更晚、离家更近的新加坡DC。7 X/ p8 r, P, Z& K! I) I
据《华尔街日报》网络版消息,在新加坡两大DC之一、云顶新加坡(Genting Singapore)旗下的的圣淘沙名胜世界(Resorts World Sentosa)公布高于预期的二季度业绩后,预测人士已经打算提高他们对整个DB业的预期。! @) W& V) W {, ~& F5 z
财报显示,圣淘沙名胜世界二季度录得利润8.608亿新加坡元(约合6.33亿美元)。分析人士估计,DB业务占总利润的比例应在70%至90%间。
! m" a/ q. K$ }" k2 c1 C因ZF希望使收入来源多样化,今年早些时候,新加坡向赌客开放了两处博彩度假村。圣淘沙的业绩高于市场预期,虽然现在就下定论为时尚早,但在两大DC还未完全开放的情况下,新加坡博彩市场展现了惊人的潜力。
# ~4 j3 }8 V* \ Y4 Y今年2月中旬,云顶新加坡在其综合度假村内开放了总投资44亿美元的圣淘沙名胜世界,随后在4月下旬,竞争对手拉斯维加斯金沙集团股份有限公司(Las Vegas Sands Corp)斥资55亿美元的滨海湾金沙度假村(Marina Bay Sands resort)也宣告开业。4 \) h3 w; b+ i, Y9 x1 n% f
综合两家DC二季度的盈利情况来看,新加坡DB业的年营业额可能高达40亿美元。
( \1 e, t! V# @内华达大学拉斯维加斯分校新加坡校区负责人纳泽雷库(Andy Nazarechuk)表示:“这只不过是证明了只要你把DC建好,客源就会过来。而在新加坡,他们建了两座名符其实的DC。”0 A2 k# D8 E% r9 i* D$ W& Z
他说:“拉斯维加斯仍将保持对亚洲赌客的吸引力。但客人们可能不会每年去两到三次了,他们或许只来一次,剩下两次去更近的地方。”2 C+ A6 Q4 |+ {- |1 v
总部位于拉斯维加斯的博彩业咨询公司Galaviz & Company对新加坡博彩业的利润预测较为保守,认为2011年实际利润仅为35亿美元,而预计拉斯维加斯的利润将达58亿美元,略高于51亿美元的2010年预期利润。3 h: u- h4 g _0 H- y% r" O
但投资界一些人的看法是,到2012年时,新加坡博彩市场的规模将接近Galaviz公司对拉斯维加斯的预测。拉斯维加斯博彩业收入约占内华达州博彩业收入的一半。8 n5 g5 B8 R# q$ y! [
法国里昂证券(CLSA)的费舍尔(Aaron Fischer)则更为乐观,按照他的预计,2011年新加坡两大DC的博彩收入将达51亿美元,远超他此前预测的39亿美元。高盛(Goldman Sachs)也预计,2011年新加坡DB业的收入将达到50亿美元。
: I8 ?- ^0 R) v' l费舍尔指出:“亚洲的DB需求远超其他地区。”$ B+ d. V1 }8 x1 W! }
2006年,澳门DB收入超过拉斯维加斯,问鼎世界博彩业霸主。里昂证券预测,以利润来衡量,拉斯维加斯似乎已经无法抗衡澳门。但就新加坡而言,博彩行业还存在政策风险。费舍尔指出,ZF在未来可能会觉得DB市场过于庞大,大量社会问题将会涌现,这时博彩业将迎来重大的政策考验。 |
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