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德皮划艇马术夺金无疑 博彩公司不看好金牌超雅典
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体坛网记者安然报道 本届奥运会,德国将参加除棒垒球外的所有26个大项。开赛前夕,德国代表团提出金牌榜保六争五的目标。雅典奥运会,德国人拿到14金、16银和18铜,总奖牌数48枚,被日本挤到金牌榜第6。
* q F7 w) p* w- k1 ?1 q3 J; x. {3 }在bwin公司为德国队开出的金牌赔率项目上,选择的基准是12.5枚金牌、44.5枚奖牌。该公司看好德国金牌总数在12到13枚之间,奖牌总数在44到45枚之间。显然,这两项数值比起雅典奥运会都有所下降,博彩公司并不看好德国队成绩超越上届。东西德合并后,德国队在1992年巴塞罗那奥运会上拿到33金、21银、28铜,总奖牌数82块,此后奖牌数逐届下降,1996年65枚、2000年57枚、2004年48枚。本届奥运会的举办地北京与德国时差较大,气候上不适应给德国人创造佳绩制造了一定障碍。
! Q8 \$ {8 `0 w Q$ V. t" tbwin还开出一组特别投注,比较德国与英国两个代表团的金牌总数。德国大于英国的赔率为1.18,小于英国为4.25。虽然整体未被看好,但与英国比,德国仍占据相当优势。1.18的数值说明,这场奥运战场上的英德大战,德国胜算极大。
) ^" W% d" ~9 j- T% _0 _5 ~在奥运各大项中,德国在田径、游泳、皮划艇、自行车、马术和足球等项目中有很强的竞争力。其中皮划艇、马术、女足、男手和男曲等项目有相当大的夺金把握。/ L1 C" M) q1 x4 z
皮划艇是德国代表团最强力的夺牌项目,主帅基斯勒表示,德国皮艇队在北京奥运会上的夺牌目标是6到7枚,其中金牌目标为至少3枚。从已开出赔率看,男子1000米双人静水和男子激流回旋等项目金牌几乎是德国人的囊中之物。
4 i9 g7 N8 g& L% g5 z5 N9 `0 `& f2007年蝉联女足世界杯后,德国在女足领域可谓独大。bwin的女足夺冠赔率中,德国队以2.75的赔率高居榜首,唯一能与他们一较短长的是美国,夺冠赔率为3.25。马塔领衔的巴西队夺冠赔率为5.50,瑞典为8.00。其余各队夺冠赔率都在10倍以上,按照大赛规律,她们爆冷几率极小。较靠前的有挪威的11.00、韩国的15.00、天朝的17.00。* a" o) M. k/ O, c- n
马术有3个项目德国人的优势异常明显。障碍赛方面,德国队金牌赔率2.75,三项赛金牌赔率达到2.15,盛装舞步赛中,金牌赔率更低至1.75。三项赔率均高居榜首,按照博彩公司的赔率分析,德国人即便包揽马术全部6块金牌也不意外。
1 c d5 k+ t$ ?, f9 o" \/ f R' L2004年雅典奥运会,德国男子手球队功亏一篑屈居亚军。立博公司的男手冠军赔率中,法国以3.20列首位,丹麦以4.50列第二,卫冕冠军克罗地亚以5.00列第三,德国仅以5.50列第四,圆梦难度较大。相比之下,德国男曲夺金概率高很多,paddypower公司为他们开出3.50的最低赔率,澳大利亚以4.00紧随其后,西班牙和荷兰在该项目中也有较强实力。; J) w* m% Q) B
“金色飞鱼”斯蒂芬是德国游泳队的希望,她在女子100米自由泳项目上有争金实力,但对手澳大利亚人特里克特实力强劲。bwin给斯蒂芬开出的夺冠赔率为4.85,特里克特仅为1.36,强弱立判。 |
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