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[虚拟币交流]
比特币突然迎来 6.6 万亿美元的美联储价格逆转（转）
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美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示，美联储可能很快会结束其量化紧缩计划，因为鸽派的转变预计将推高比特币价格。 ]; W! v) y3 g3 f6 v0 h$ Y# i
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鲍威尔在费城全国商业经济协会 (NABE) 会议上发表演讲时表示：“我们长期以来的计划是，当储备金略高于我们判断的与充足储备条件相符的水平时，停止资产负债表缩减。”报告 经过 CNBC，同时也为进一步降息打开了大门。4 }1 R0 E, h* {% z4 u1 `0 I
7 z0 @' A3 h$ _& E9 q“我们可能会在未来几个月内接近这一点，我们正在密切关注各种指标以做出这一决定。”
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( r8 ?! f+ h/ W. z美联储于 2022 年开始的量化紧缩计划已将美联储的资产负债表规模从峰值时的约 9 万亿美元缩减至 6.6 万亿美元，由于美联储试图从系统中吸走流动性，这给比特币等风险资产带来了压力。, C, @3 j, M5 }% S% f
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Trade Nation 高级市场分析师戴维·莫里森 (David Morrison) 在电子邮件评论中表示：“鲍威尔专注于量化紧缩，即美联储缩减资产负债表。在金融危机期间，资产负债表规模达到了前所未有的水平，在新冠疫情恐慌期间更是进一步扩大。美联储一直在缓慢缩减资产负债表，从而收紧货币政策。鲍威尔暗示，这项缩减计划可能很快就会结束。”
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在量化紧缩计划逐步结束之际，人们普遍预计美联储将在本月晚些时候的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议上再次降息，而随着华尔街金融机构的涌入，比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）飙升至创纪录水平。
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' b( f# _* a$ K( b4 y- I* `立即注册 密码法典 —一份免费的加密货币新闻通讯，助您领先市场
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' Q4 E `( q. R* c近几个月来，比特币价格一路飙升，但跌势却引发了人们的分歧，有人认为比特币价格将迎来暴涨，有人担心价格崩盘即将来临。
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! ^, _3 R1 D; U4 F$ f1 l7 F' I" LXapo Bank 投资主管 Gadi Chait 通过电子邮件表示：“这种机构火力，加上美联储 9 月降息后的鸽派立场以及包括美国ZF关门在内的持续宏观经济不确定性，强化了比特币作为与黄金并驾齐驱的数字对冲工具的新兴作用，而黄金本身在上周突破了每盎司 4,000 美元的关口。”较低的利率通常被视为对高增长科技股和比特币等风险资产的支持。# e& c+ T" d+ ^
3 u1 y5 ]& P, O( h$ K* j随着我们进入“十月上旬”，看看我们能否取得任何有意义的上涨，将会很有趣。美联储在10月28日至29日联邦公开市场委员会会议上的政策发展，或许会成为延续涨势或引发健康盘整的催化剂。
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! a0 }! l; \, X6 W, d由于担心通胀可能卷土重来，美联储在上个月降息之前一直维持利率不变直至2025年，而鲍威尔现在似乎又转向对就业市场的担忧。
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# C' V) y9 k% i2 g5 W$ M“鲍威尔……对近期美国劳动力市场恶化表示担忧，”莫里森表示。“这已成为美联储目前的焦点，取代了通胀，而通胀仍远高于美联储2%的目标利率。市场仍在考虑年底前两次降息25个基点的可能性。”+ ]8 D* k. x5 N2 B7 Y' _! l
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