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一旦这三个因素一致,比特币可能会触底
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根据CoinMarketCap的数据，比特币在过去 24 小时内上涨了 5.15%，交易价格为 20,776 美元。业内人士指出，宏观经济形势的改善、特定的交易模式以及更多的震荡或“去杠杆化”是需要调整以帮助比特币和加密货币市场触底的三个因素。
宏观经济前景改善
更光明的宏观经济前景，特别是经济和通胀正在“得到控制”的迹象，可能有助于加密货币市场触底反弹。
加密货币交易所 Luno 的 Vijay Ayyar 告诉CNBC：“如果我们在本月甚至未来几个月看到这种迹象，这将使市场更有信心，所有风险资产（包括股票和加密货币）都已触底。” . CoinShares 研究主管 James Butterfill 表示，美联储“走软”和美元走强可能有助于市场找到底部。他认为这很可能会在夏末的杰克逊霍尔会议上发生。
额外的“洗牌”
对于近期市场的“洗牌”或“去杠杆”是否已成定局，加密货币行业的大多数人看法不一。 据 ZX Squared 联合创始人 CK Zheng 表示，当没有更多的公司意外倒闭时，市场可能会触底。 然而，James Butterfill 认为，比特币矿工可能是下一个被淘汰的受害者，他说：“这些采矿初创公司之一或相关贷方可能会倒闭，这将有助于确定加密市场的低谷。”
投降和累积交易模式
某些交易模式可能预示着市场触底，例如 2020 年 3 月所见证的“投降蜡烛”。在这里，比特币的价格可能会进一步暴跌，并在“强势回升”之前“消灭少数剩余的弱势手”。 " 第二种模式可能是“积累阶段”，其中比特币触底并在一个区间内交易几个月，然后再上涨。在所有情况下，分析师都预测比特币的价格将下跌至 13,000 美元至 15,000 美元之间，或较当前水平下跌近 30%。
来源：金色财经 |
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