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美联储加息100个点对加密市场意味着什么?
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根据美国劳工统计局7 月13日发布的数据,6 月份美国消费者物价指数 (CPI) 跃升至 9.1% 。CPI 的上涨启动了整个加密货币市场和股票市场的清算链。
事实上,价格压力将迫使美联储在本月晚些时候加息。CME显示美联储在 7 月 27 日的会议上加息 100 个基点的可能性。
在最新的CPI数据之后,加密市场会再次崩盘吗
在美国劳工统计局宣布 6 月份 9.1% 的 CPI 后,加密货币价格大幅下跌。比特币 (BTC) 和以太坊 (ETH) 价格分别跌至 18,990 美元和 1019 美元。这是过去 40 年来美国出现的最高通货膨胀率。对经济衰退的担忧也在加剧,因为这是通胀连续第四个月上升。
目前的情况证实美联储在 7月27日加息 75 个基点。然而,主要担忧是加息 100 个基点的可能性增加。CME 的 FedWatch 工具显示 75 个基点的概率为 45%,100 个基点的概率为 55%。
由于看跌情况和流动性危机,已经承受压力的加密货币市场可能会因利率上升而大幅下跌。过去几个月全球中央银的加息降低了投资者对加密货币和股票的兴趣。
过去几个季度,加密货币一直在密切跟踪股票。随着投资者减少了对宏观经济风险的敞口,他们连同股票一起抛售了加密货币。
高盛周三发布的一项调查显示,93% 的小企业主认为美国将在未来六个月内进入衰退。美国银行经济学家表示,由于“今年的轻微衰退”,散户和机构投资者可能会出现回调。
在利率上涨和经济衰退恐惧的情况下清算增加
在最新的 CPI 报告发布后,全球加密货币市值进一步下降至8675.4 亿美元。由于交易员和机构投资者的卖空,整个加密市场的价格上涨是假的。在通胀数据公布之前,机构投资者纷纷买入 BTC 空头头寸。加密货币清算总额超过 2.5 亿美元,以太坊和比特币在过去 24 小时内清算了 8800 万和 8700 万美元。
根据MLIV Pulse 调查,接受调查的华尔街专家中有 60% 认为,由于通胀上升,BTC 可能跌至 10,000 美元。
今天的分享就到这里,后期会给大家带来其他赛道的龙头项目分析。感兴趣的可以点个关注。我也会不定期整理一些前沿资询和项目点评,欢迎各位志同道合的币圈人一起来探索。 来源:金色财经 |
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